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深圳房价连跌7月后成交量大增146% 迎新一轮上涨?

2017-05-04 07:52:05   央广网

作为本轮最早开始严厉调控的一线城市,去年9月30日起,深圳出台最严调控新政,很快便量价齐跌。今年以来,由于楼市的平稳表现,深圳并未加入3月中旬至今的新一轮调控行列。

但是,刚刚公布的4月深圳楼市数据,隐含着变化。

深圳规土委数据显示,深圳新房住宅均价已连续7个月下跌,但在4月份,深圳新房均价下跌幅度减小,仅为0.2%,同时成交环比上涨146%,市场温度隐隐回升。

不过,深圳中原、Q房网等多家机构认为,新房成交虽然回升,但总量依然不及去年均值;当前政策大环境依然偏紧,尤其是深圳调控政策悬而未决的情况下,买方市场持续。

成交量上行价格稳定

事实上,从今年3月开始,深圳楼市就出现房价下跌幅度收窄,成交量环比上扬的迹象。

进入4月,深圳楼市成交量增长持续。深圳市规土委公布数据显示,4月深圳一手住宅成交1977套,环比上涨146.2%;一手住宅成交面积190269平方米,环比上涨136.9%,同比减少24.7%。

二手楼成交量环比呈上升趋势。据深房中协公布数据,4月深圳二手住宅共成交6301套,环比上涨30.2%,超越去年的月均量值,但价格尚属稳定。

深圳市房地产中介协会发展研究总监徐枫表示,深圳今年因其稳定的楼市表现,调控政策暂未升级,但市场仍存在调控政策趋紧的预期,因而推高近期新房成交量。

不过她亦分析,新房市场的供应有时间节点特质。由于五一、十一黄金周前后是供应放量阶段,新房市场成交量在这个时间点上升有季节性因素。

并且,由于深圳楼市由二手房交易主导,新房市场成交量占全市总成交量只有40%左右。因此,新房成交量的攀升并不能代表深圳市场的回暖。

中原地产首席分析师张大伟则认为,对深圳楼市的分析应主要看二手房的成交情况,其数据更能反映现实。将一、二手房的情况结合来看,深圳楼市依然相对平稳。

从价格来看,4月份深圳楼市成交均价相对平稳。据深圳市规土委公布的数据,4月全市新房成交均价为54619元/平方米,环比微跌0.2%,跌幅收窄。

深房中协统计数据亦显示,深圳市一手住宅成交均价已是连续7个月呈现环比微跌态势,一手住宅成交均价整体维持在5.5万元/平左右。

从区域来看,4月深圳部分区域受改善和换房需求助推上涨明显。龙岗、罗湖、宝安一手住宅成交均价分别为38639元/平方米、78583元/平方米、46312元/平方米,环比下跌10.2%、7.9%、4.4%;但南山、盐田片区一手住宅成交均价呈不同幅度的上涨,分别为113191元/平方米、48478元/平方米,环比涨幅为13.8%、5.9%。

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