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圆通175亿元估值过高?赵薇马云赚翻股民笑不出

2016-08-08 09:50:40   中国经济网

中国经济网编者按:日前,大杨创世发布公告称,公司重组预案获得有条件通过,至此,圆通速递成功借壳大杨创世。从此前证监会两次对圆通速递借壳下达的反馈意见书来看,估值过高、盈利承诺、关联交易以及加盟商商模式等问题都是市场关注的焦点。

据重组报告书显示,截至2015年12月31日评估基准日,圆通速递评估价值175.27亿元。经协商,交易作价定为175亿元。但圆通速递2015年净利润出现下滑,由2014年的7.47亿元下降至7.17亿元。此外,圆通速递主营业务毛利率也连续三年下滑。

此外,重组预案显示,阿里创投和云锋新创分别持股11.09%和6.43%。有机构经过计算,阿里创投在圆通上市后富盈将达数十亿元。而作为云锋新创的股东之一,赵薇当初出资7500万元,持股2.4422%,预计圆通上市后,赵薇也将获利数千万元。

有分析指出,目前,快递行业发展之路看似一片繁荣,整个行业依旧面临着若干窘境。在行业竞争和业绩压力之下,资本到底能给行业带来多大的推动作用,也很难预料。

值得注意的是,此次重组,大杨创世以现金方式支付对价,交易作价为12.34亿元;同时通过非公开发行22.67亿股。目前,大杨创世总股本为3.3亿,这意味着借壳后的圆通速递市值将达500亿元左右。因此,面对市场扩容,有股民表示“笑不出”。

中国经济网记者致电大杨创世媒体公关部,但电话无人接听。

毛利逐年下滑 上市后业绩压力巨大

据中国经营报报道,根据大杨创世发布的重组预案,该公司拟将全部资产与负债出售予圆通速递的控股股东蛟龙集团和云锋新创,后者以现金方式支付对价,交易作价为12.34亿元;同时通过非公开发行22.67亿股,作价175亿元收购圆通速递100%股权。

值得注意的是,从此前证监会两次对圆通速递借壳下达的反馈意见书来看,估值过高、盈利承诺、关联交易以及加盟商商模式等问题都是市场关注的焦点。

高估值对应的是企业未来的发展前景和盈利能力。但是从圆通速递公布的财务数据来看,其近年来的净利润和毛利率都已经出现下滑趋势。

重组草案显示,圆通速递2013年度、2014年度和2015年度分别实现营业收入68.85亿元、82.29亿元和120.96亿元,营业收入年均复合增长率为32.54%。然而净利润却出现下滑,2015年的圆通速递净利润从2014年的7.47亿元下降至7.17亿元。

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