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沪指距3300点只差半点

2017-08-24 04:51:24   中国青年网

长沙晚报讯(记者 王斌)昨日沪深两市受周期股大面积回调影响,市场人气陷入低迷,虽然在银行股和券商股的拉升带动下,沪指一度逼近3300点,达到3299.46点,但由于金融股单边上涨,热点相对较少,沪指冲高回落,尾盘小幅翻绿。

机器人和环保题材受追捧

昨日沪深两市小幅低开,受黑色系期货拖累,钢铁、有色等资源股全线下挫,金融股、消费股护盘上攻,沪指逼近3300点关口,环保、次新等板块全天表现强势,银行、券商等金融板块午后一度冲高,煤炭、钢铁、有色等周期板块大跌。两市成交量较上一交易日明显缩量。收盘时多数股票飘绿。

2017世界机器人大会于23日至27日在京举行。机器人概念股大幅反弹,泰尔股份、劲拓股份、海伦哲涨停,华丽家族涨逾6%,赛象科技涨逾4%。包括机器人概念股在内的人工智能、物联网、无人驾驶、5G等板块短期内将成为大盘保持热度的热点题材。另外,环保板块表现强势。据环保部规划院的测算,“十三五”期间,环保投入将增加到每年2万亿元左右,“十三五”环保总投资有望超过17万亿元。利好带动环保股涨幅居前,龙源技术、菲达环保涨停,龙净环保涨逾4%,清新环境、德创环保、永清环保涨逾3%。

沪指或向下试探5日均线

盘面上,作为混改股的龙头中国联通居然出现了绿色盘。钢铁行业、煤炭、稀土、有色金属、水泥、黄金等板块同时向下跳水。此类周期股调整主要原因有:一是大宗商品期货大跌,热卷、铁矿石、螺纹钢等盘中跌逾5%,影响了周期股走势;二是中钢协表态,市场需求基本平稳,后期钢材价格难以大幅上涨,将呈现波动运行态势;三是周期股前期涨幅较大。

从技术上来看,大盘收出了带上下影线的十字星,整体上量能不大,冲高动能有限,虽然大势依然在上行趋势中,但是上方平台的压制力开始逐渐显现,短期若不出现放量强攻,可能以退为进,回落震荡比较有利。综合来看,资源股周期股很大程度拖累了大盘,上证50也有独木难支的味道。这使得上证指数随时都有可能跌破5日平均线,值得注意。

成长股可能迎来阶段性反弹

大盘在3300点附近调整震荡,并且有和上次高点形成M头的趋势,让很多技术派的人十分谨慎。巨丰投顾认为,沪指自3300点调整以来,涨价题材构筑阶段性头部,大资金逐步转向创业板,市场总体向上的力量未遭破坏。中国联通带动的混改主题已经退潮,强周期股分化明显,市场量能大幅萎缩,3300点仍然是难以逾越的鸿沟,大盘箱体震荡的格局没有打破。

但是,证监会近期连续发文已表示态度:股市总体运行平稳,基础在夯实;市场波动率持续收窄,估值结构趋于合理,临时性政策措施已全部退出。因此,很多分析人士认为,股市上涨是中国经济的成绩,突破3300点是必然趋势。根据《国务院关于国有企业发展混合所有制经济的意见》,鼓励各类资本参与国有企业混合所有制改革,包括电力、石油、天然气、铁路、民航、电信、军工等领域改革,开展放开竞争性业务、推进混合所有制改革试点示范。华泰证券认为,关注混改题材、前期超跌的优质军工股。相关成长股可能迎来阶段性反弹行情,但难趋势性反转。

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