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北京“8万元+”盘成交208亿元 “松绑”限价非调控转向信号

2017-08-15 11:19:47   中国经济网

■本报记者 王丽新

市场默认房价“天花板”预售价格不超过8万元/平方米被打破。

近日,北京市住建委放松高价盘预售证审批,丰台区北京金茂府、招商中国玺和华润昆仑域三个项目预售证获批,预售价格均在9.5万元/平方米左右。

对此,克而瑞地产研究表示,今年以来,北京房地产市场调控政策成效显著,房价环比不增长调控目标已经阶段性达成,此时适度放开高价盘也属合理,可以有效应对主城区房源匮乏,缓解供不应求的矛盾。况且,3个高价盘集中获批预售也仅是个案,不等于调控出现转向信号。

高价盘成交208亿元

事实上,今年以来,北京“8万元+”高价盘成交金额并不低。

由此可见,与去年同期相比,北京“8万元+”新盘成交价实际上在走低,因此在售项目销售情况较好。据克尔瑞近期发布2017年1月份-7月份中国别墅市场网签额排行榜显示,在“8万元+”项目成交中,由首开、保利、龙湖打造的景粼原著排名北京第一,全国第四。

对此,景粼原著相关负责人向《证券日报》等记者表示,景粼原著作为北京“8万元+”的项目,已经入市一年多,属于在售改善型别墅产品,从板块内供应看,孙河区域未来也将不会再出现与景粼原著同量级产品业态规划,因此形成新财富阶层聚集地。

对此,亚豪机构市场总监郭毅向《证券日报》记者表示,鉴于有很多高端项目都在排队取证,虽然这些项目一旦取证,将会很快销售,但并不一定会快速反映在网签数据上。

改善需求供应紧缩?

值得关注的是,“3·17”调控政策以来,“商品住宅预售价格每平方米不得超过8万元”成为压在房地产开发商头上的一条红线。

易居研究院研究总监严跃进表示,此前管控和稳定房价有关,而近期对于此类房源放松,本质上是对于具体项目进行了具体的政策对待,这也有助于释放更多的房源。

对此,另有业内人士称,从2016年及2017年的土地供应来看,北京五环内可售住宅仅4.39万平方米,全北京范围内,不受“70/90”限定地块仅4宗,住宅面积不受限定的改善型住宅仅有85万平方米,仅占整体市场的1/4,改善产品越来越少。未来大批住宅以自住房为主,且开发商高度自持。

另有数据显示,从2014年到2017年,改善市场的供需比从2.5降低至0.6,平均10个购房者争夺6套房源,不断增长的改善需求让市场日益供不应求。而从北京的土地供应来看,五环内别墅土地零供应,且六环外土地供应也较为稀少,北京改善型土地供应进入饥荒时代,“低供应高需求”成为改善市场“新常态”。

对此,郭毅表示,从未来供应趋势来看,截至目前,北京成交的23宗可售商品住宅用地当中,容积率在1.6以内的达9宗,这些地块当中也有出产别墅产品的可能,因此明年别墅市场供应预计会出现转机。此外,在这其中部分地块执行“90/70”政策,预计会出现一些“小户型+别墅”的混合型社区项目。

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