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调控让楼市回归理性:房价“上天”不可持续

2017-08-14 10:08:55   央广网

近期,北京、广州、沈阳等多地接连推出新一轮楼市调控措施,进一步遏制投机型需求,突出房屋居住属性,强调保障和改善民生。在楼市即将步入“金九银十”销售旺季的背景下,调控政策未来的走向就成为海内外关注的焦点。专家指出,近年来楼市伴随中国经济快速发展的同时,也出现了房价上涨过快、投资属性突出、金融风险增大等诸多问题。因此,加快形成促进房地产市场健康发展的长效机制,不仅是中国经济平稳转型的必要条件,同时也是未来各地楼市调控措施的真正航向。

房价“上天”不可持续

树不能长到天上,房地产价格也一样。通常,房地产的居住属性决定了其会随着经济发展与城镇化进程而兴旺。但是,如果房屋在投资属性的主导之下上涨过快、涨幅过大,久而久之就会带来各种各样的风险和隐患。

上海证券研究所首席宏观分析师胡月晓撰文指出,中国房地产市场的矛盾主要在两方面:一是投机性比重过高,二是高房价大大挤压了其他行业。交通银行首席经济学家连平认为,房地产库存总量仍在高位、相关部门杠杆率水平提升较快,加之房地产行业抗风险能力整体较弱,房地产泡沫风险仍需警惕。

“从美、日等国的经验来看,经济危机的背后都有房地产泡沫破灭的影子。在中国,房地产市场经过20多年的快速发展,很多区域楼盘价格已经非常之高,对民众生活质量与企业经营成本的影响也很大。因此,无论是客观规律还是主观需要,都决定了房价不可能无限上涨。”北京科技大学管理学院经济贸易系教授何维达对本报记者表示。

如今,在调控政策之下,楼市开始回归理性。国家统计局数据显示,截至2017年6月,在国内70个大中城市中,一线城市新建商品住宅和二手住宅价格同比平均涨幅均连续9个月回落;二线城市新建商品住宅价格同比平均涨幅连续7个月回落,二手住宅价格同比平均涨幅也连续5个月出现回落。

调控着眼根本问题

仔细观察不难发现,如今各地推出的楼市调控政策不仅更细更实,而且调控日益触及楼市自身存在的深层问题。

例如,为限制炒房空间,福州市要求各房地产开发企业按照经营性土地出让合同约定的开、竣工时限要求加快商品房项目开发建设,商品房项目要在售楼部醒目位置公示预售房源的位置、面积、单价、总价等信息,不得捂盘惜售、囤积房源。

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