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两融余额创三个月新高 震荡市不妨与融资主力共舞

2017-08-14 15:18:29   央广网

两融余额创三个月新高

震荡市不妨与融资主力共舞

分析人士认为,当前两融交易额在两市日成交额中占比不断提升,当前已经逼近11%,成为场内一只重要的且能左右行情走势的资金力量,随着融资客重新看好资源股价值,预计短期市场大幅下跌概率不大。布局上,投资者不妨借力打力,采取更随主力战略参与交易性机会博弈,但考虑到谨慎情绪正在升温,投资者在布局时仍需保持谨慎,以免“抄底”被套。

近期市场剧烈波动,3200点附近短线方向未明,两融投资者趁机玩起了短线,随行就市地调整起布局逻辑,从单边追捧有色到短线博弈计算机、传媒,再到加仓“吃药喝酒”,上周四,有色金属、化工、交通运输、采掘等资源品种又重新获得融资主力青睐。

两融余额两连增

自8月8日起,市场两融余额结束高位盘整,开始连续向上攀升,至上周四收盘,已经达到9134.52亿元,创出近3个月新高。与此同时,市场还重现融券净偿还,当天融券卖出额为9.56亿元,融券偿还额为10.17亿元,显示随着指数调整的延续,两融多空阵营短期达成相对一致预期。

盘面上看,当天市场剧烈震动,行业板块大多出现回调,除建筑材料、国防军工、交通运输等少数几个板块外,其余行业板块悉数下跌,其中跌幅最深的是钢铁和有色金属板块,具体为3.66%和1.68%,这两大板块恰恰是7月以来推动市场中枢上移的领涨板块。

但值得注意的是,当天两融行业变动却呈现出明显的“逆势而为”。有色金属、化工、交通运输、采掘和建筑材料板块集体占据融资净买入前五位,短暂“熄火”的加仓周期热潮又有重新回暖的态势。

事实上,随着两融余额重回高位,以及大盘在3300点附近持续调整,两融资金买什么这个问题值得思考:一方面,作为前期拉抬指数的领军人物,低估值的蓝筹板块阶段涨幅已高,资金派发压力显著上升,且随着指数调整时间的拉长,短期市场风险也受到一定抑制,影响增量资金进场参与行情;另一方面,估值修复和涨价因素已经阶段性地兑现,短期外围市场动荡加剧对A股投资者情绪造成扰动,在映射作用的带动下,大幅调整一触即发,但横向来看,结合宏观经济以及行业基本面来看,资源类板块仍是场内更具性价比的投资选择。

因此,近期融资客“小调小买,大调大买”,当市场日内波动不大时即短线出击创业板中基本面上佳、遭到市场忽略的标的,以及食品饮料等传统避嫌品种,上周五贵州茅台股价更距离500元一步之遥;而当指数波动较大,周期板块受累大势下跌时,则借机抄底,以备战中长期行情。

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