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昨日,沪深两市股指双双低开,全天维持震荡整理。最终,上证综指以小幅下跌报收,深证成指则以小幅上涨报收。两市共成交4973.1亿元,量能比周二小幅萎缩,但总体仍呈现资金净流出的态势。
据大智慧SuperView数据显示,昨日两市资金净流出77.43亿元,主要集中在银行、券商、土木工程、运输业、化工化纤等板块。其中,银行板块居昨日资金净流出首位,净流出14.76亿元;净流出前三名为民生银行、兴业银行、江苏银行,分别净流出3.03亿元、1.59亿元、1.07亿元。券商板块居昨日资金净流出第二位,净流出14.03亿元;净流出前三名为浙商证券、中信证券、国泰君安,分别净流出2.66亿元、2.04亿元、1.68亿元。土木工程板块居昨日资金净流出第三位,净流出12.89亿元;净流出前三名为中国建筑、同济科技、四川路桥,分别净流出2.61亿元、2.04亿元、0.97亿元。
由此可见,低估值蓝筹股昨日呈现资金净流出态势。银行股是目前A股估值最低的板块,券商股和土木工程板块的市净率和市盈率也相对低企,但低估值往往对应的是业绩的低弹性。
随着市场人气的活跃,周期性个股持续走强,越来越多的资金开始追求业绩弹性较高的品种,导致很多资金开始套现低估值股票,转向高弹性的周期性股票,因此,煤炭石油、有色金属、技术服务、酒及饮料、黑色金属等业绩高弹性板块近期呈现资金反复加仓的态势。其中,煤炭石油板块居昨日资金净流入首位,净流入13.44亿元;净流入前三名为潞安环能、平煤股份、盘江股份,分别净流入2.09亿元、1.98亿元、1.60亿元。有色金属板块居昨日资金净流入第二位,净流入8.47亿元;净流入前三名为驰宏锌锗、紫金矿业、江西铜业,分别净流入3.27亿元、2.36亿元、1.45亿元。技术服务板块居昨日资金净流入第三位,净流入7.09亿元;净流入前三名为华大基因、中公高科、百花村,分别净流入5.97亿元、1.76亿元、0.09亿元。
近期A股市场的资金流向路线图已经较为清晰,高弹性的周期性个股仍然是市场关注的焦点,尤其是以有色金属为代表的资源股更是受到重点关注。由于新能源动力汽车发展势头迅猛,法、德等欧洲国家均有退出燃油车市场的时间表,未来国内新能源动力汽车的发展势头也将更为迅猛,对钴、锂、稀土等的需求不断加大,相关企业的业绩弹性较为乐观,值得中长期关注。
金百临咨询 秦洪
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