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一二三线楼市成交量齐降 廊坊“哑火”环京圈“蔫了”
中国经济网北京8月3日讯(记者宋雅静)易居最新报告显示,7月50城新建商品住宅成交面积环比减少7%,已连续4个月环比下跌,连续5个月同比下跌。中国经济网记者在报告中获悉,一二三线城市均降温,其中北京同比-56%领跌一线城市,二线城环比呈冰火两重天,三线城有19个成交面积环比下跌。 一线城市成交环比齐跌 北京增幅被腰斩 7月份,4个一线城市新建商品住宅成交面积为180万平方米,环比减少16%,同比减少51%。从环比数据来看,一线城市总体上比较平稳。但从同比数据来看,一线城市总体上呈现了降温态势。这主要是由于预售证审批较严,供应紧缺。 具体城市看,北上广深4个城市环比增幅分别为-2%、-1%、-33%和-33%,同比增幅分别为-56%、-47%、-54%和-36%。不论是从环比数据还是同比数据来看,这四个一线城市的楼市都出现了降温态势,这主要是由于严厉的调控政策的效应持续释放,引导过热的楼市趋于平稳。 二线城市环比冰火两重天:成交8增8减 7月份,16个二线城市新建商品住宅成交面积为1230万平方米,环比减少4%,同比减少17%。无论是从环比数据还是同比数据看,此类城市呈现了持续降温的态势。部分城市随着认房又认贷等政策效应的释放,预计市场会有进一步降温的可能。 16个二线城市中,有8个城市出现了环比下跌态势,8个城市则有上升的态势。从环比跌幅来看,济南、苏州和呼和浩特相对跌幅大,跌幅分别为23%、35%和34%。而类似南宁和兰州等城市成交环比增幅较大,增幅分别为39%和17%。 三线城市有19城成交面积环比下跌 7月份,30个三线城市新建商品住宅成交面积为822万平方米,环比减少10%,同比减少17%。此前三线城市楼市异常火爆,随着市场需求的提前释放,目前交易量出现环比小跌也属正常。 30个三线城市中,有19个城市成交面积出现环比下跌态势,而其他11个城市则有所上升或持平。从排行中可以看出,环比跌幅排名前5位的城市分别为廊坊(-46%)、赣州(-37%)、佛山(-34%)、宜昌(-31%)和蚌埠(-30%)。此类排名中部分城市政策管控较严或者政策有所升级,市场交易容易下滑。而从环比增幅排行看,排名前5位的城市分别为常德(31%)、北海(30%)、三亚(20%)、嘉兴(19%)和宝鸡(18%)。类似城市市场交易活跃,和部分城市的购房政策总体宽松等因素是有关的。 疯狂的“廊坊”哑火 代表整个环京区域成交走弱 廊坊自从经历了2016年12月的疯狂之后,新建商品住宅成交面积大幅回落,继今年6月的成交量10.23万平方米创下近一年的新低后,7月份的5.48万平方米进一步刷新最低成交纪录。6月初廊坊进一步收紧楼市调控政策,随着政策效应的释放,廊坊市场大幅降温,成交量和成交价都应声下跌。作为环京最主要的区域,廊坊市场的迅速降温代表着整个环京区域的成交走弱。 中国经济网记者通过报告获悉,7月份市场延续降温态势,一方面,楼市调控政策持续作用,引导前期过热的楼市步入平稳,另一方面,受限于预售证审批、预售价格管控等因素,供应量偏紧,成交量受到影响。另外,高温天气对成交量的影响也是不容忽视的,夏天历来是楼市的传统淡季。纵观市场变动,严厉的调控政策加上紧缩的金融环境会继续对楼市产生影响,预计8月份市场交易量将继续趋弱。
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