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外汇储备“四连升” 专家:未来有望保持稳定回升趋势
中国日报网6月9日电(记者 涂恬)中国人民银行公布的最新外汇储备规模数据显示,截至2017年5月31日,我国外汇储备规模为30536亿美元,较4月末小幅上升240亿美元,增幅为0.8%,为连续第四个月出现回升。
对此,国家外汇管理局有关负责人表示,5月,我国跨境资金流动延续回稳向好势头,外汇供求继续处于基本平衡状态;国际金融市场出现波动,非美元货币相对美元总体升值,资产价格有所上升。这些因素综合作用,推动了外汇储备规模的回升。
该负责人称,今年以来,我国经济运行保持在合理区间,同时出现了质量提升、结构优化、后劲增强、动能壮大、空间拓展等更多积极变化,支撑经济保持中高速增长和迈向中高端水平的因素进一步增多,经济稳中向好的步伐更加稳健。国际金融市场运行相对平稳,跨境资金流动和外汇市场供求基本平衡,人民币汇率稳中有升。受此提振,居民和企业的购汇行为更加趋于理性。
该负责人表示,往前看,我国经济发展潜力足、韧性强、回旋余地大,新的增长动力正在加快形成,将继续巩固经济稳中向好的发展态势。随着金融市场扩大开放的效果继续显现,将进一步巩固跨境资金流动平稳、均衡发展的基础,推动外汇储备规模趋于稳定。
在接受中国日报网记者采访时,英大期货粟坤全博士也围绕最新公布的外汇储备数据进行了解读。粟坤全表示,外储出现“四连升”的原因主要有两方面,一是美元自年初以来升值的趋势被打断,出现了大幅度的回调,非美元货币出现升值。央行储备中非美货币也跟着升值,从而提高外储总量。二是中国经济发展平稳,而欧美经济体的增长存在较大的不确定性,致使境内资金流出趋缓,而境外资金流入增加。
粟坤全预测,未来一段时间内,外汇储备会保持稳定回升的趋势,但受到国内境外投资的增加和进出口增速放缓的影响,外汇储备增长的幅度会较小。
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