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上半年,我国经济发展好于预期,上市银行业绩整体出现稳步增长态势。值得注意的是,银行业绩稳步增长的一个主要原因是净息差的回升,尤其是大型银行净息差的回升。
在当前利率中枢持续上移的背景下,商业银行净息差趋于改善。市场利率上升的影响将逐渐由银行负债端传导至资产端。大型商业银行涉及同业业务较少,流动性较为充裕,能够获得较低成本的负债,净息差将率先企稳回升。股份制银行和城商行的息差收入也将会逐步得到改善。
但是,作为银行重要收入来源的中间业务,多数银行仅实现同比微增或同比下降。这主要是受上半年资本市场、保险业务以及同业理财发生较大变化的影响。净息差等因素会随着金融市场和宏观经济的变化而改变,有较强的趋势性和周期性。中间业务虽然也受宏观经济影响,但银行可以通过创新,发挥更多的主观能动性。
在我国利率市场化改革及互联网金融等新型银行业态发展的背景下,中间业务必将成为商业银行经营转型的重要方向。银行发展中间业务不仅不能放松,还要运用更多科技手段和服务理念,为银行发展开出一条新路。
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