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31个省份晒成绩单,辽宁这次终于由负转正

2017-05-01 09:27:22   中国网

山西因能源产品涨价带动了GDP。一季度,山西煤炭价格同比上涨43.4%,焦炭上涨67.1%,冶金上涨30.6%。同时,汽车制造业增加值同比增长72.5%,新能源汽车业增长54.1%,铁路运输设备制造业增长72.5%,高端装备制造业增长88.9%。这些新兴产业也为山西未来发展积累了新动能。

辽宁在经历了去年的负增长后,今年经济全面回升,第一产业由负转正,从-4.6%至0.6%。第二产业虽然仍然下降,但降幅收窄,从-7.9%至-4.3%,第三产业从2.4%增长至7.1%。

3地增速同比降幅超1%

在一片向好的同时,另有一些省份有较为明显的回落,甘肃从去年同期的7.3%回落至今年的6.1%,江苏从去年8.3%降至7.1%,天津从9.1%至8%。

从各地报告看,甘肃第二产业固定资产投资和进出口总值下降较快,降速达到46.3%和30.6%,而天津和江苏并没有明显的“硬伤”。对此,徐洪才认为,天津和江苏都属于外向型经济,而自身缺少资源。受去年下半年开始的原材料涨价影响,制造业成本上升,竞争力肯定就下降了。他表示,有山西这种资源大省受益于原材料涨价,就一定会有下游产业受负面影响,天津和江苏应该就属于受到挤压的情况。

辽宁挤水分后一季度同比少千亿

今年一季度,有江苏、山东、广东和浙江经济总量超过万亿,浙江今年首次加入“万亿俱乐部”。可以预见的是,一季度GDP总量已达到9392亿元,且增速维持在8%左右的河南省,将成为新的“万亿”省份。而广东目前一季度经济总量已达19438万亿,很快将成为中国首个季度数据突破2万亿的省。海南今年一季度首次突破1000亿。

在全国和地方数据陆续出炉的同时,有分析指出,中国经济目前依然依赖于基础设施建设投资、房地产市场和借债的“老一套”发展模式,虽然一季度数据不错但并不能持久。对此,徐洪才向政知局(微信ID:bqzhengzhiju)分析指出,所谓的“老一套”模式肯定对一季度的“开门红”有帮助,但如果看过各地的具体报告,可以很清楚地发现新兴产业的贡献。在经过之前的一系列改革之后,新兴产业已经展现出了巨大的潜力,未来肯定还会发挥更大的作用。所以他认为未来中国经济发展是有新动力的。

在今年辽宁“两会”上,辽宁官方承认了辽宁经济数据造假,经过挤水分,2016年,辽宁实现GDP达22037.88亿元,比2015年少了6705.5亿元,“缩水”幅度高达23.3%。这是挤水分的结果,这次一季度GDP确认为4574.7亿元。去年辽宁公布的一季度GDP为5647.1亿元,相比来看,挤过水分之后,仅一季度就少了超过1000亿元。

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