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李光耀之后,新加坡不能像这个中东小国一样鲁莽

2017-09-20 08:59:59   瞭望智库

要让新加坡避免像卡塔尔那样的情况,我们需要做不少事情。在我看来,首先最重要的一步是增加对东盟的投入。东盟的秘书处要服务6.3亿人,但令人震惊的是,东盟秘书处的预算只有1900万美元,相当于 2600万新元。简单一对比,就可以表明这一预算是小得多么荒谬。欧盟总共的国民生产总值只是东盟规模的六倍。 然而欧盟委员会的预算是8000倍。我们可以把它增加1000倍吗? 这会涉及很多钱吗? 一点也不会!我们负担得起吗?如果我们像海峡时报所报导的那样能支付9亿新加坡币给人民协会(People's Association),我们可否将一部分金额用于东盟呢?人民协会(People's Association)增强了新加坡的社区意识。 东盟秘书处则可以增强东盟的团体意识。我们完全应该对此投入更多。

3,珍视联合国

另一个值得强调的地缘政治教训是,在颁布“联合国宪章”之前,数千年来,小国被欺负或被其较大的邻国占领是很正常的。虽然联合国宪章并没有完全阻止这一点,让我们见证了1979年入侵阿富汗、2003年伊拉克战争以及2014年的克里米亚事件。但是,小国遭到入侵或占领的概率也在下降,因为联合国宪章使得世界对小国来说更为安全。

所以,联合国对像新加坡这样的小国来说是最好的朋友。而同样的,大国有时并不喜欢联合国这种机制。美国杰出的学者爱德华·拉克(Edward Luck)是这样描述美国对联合国的态度的:美国最后希望的是一个独立运作的联合国,而且不会去做违背美国领导意志的事情。

我用一个简单地问题来总结这一部分,当你检视自身对联合国的看法时,你认为联合国是世界舞台上的积极力量吗?或者是受到了西方传媒标题的影响,认为联合国是一个臃肿且无意义的组织,应该被削减。如果你相信后者,那么你正在将新加坡引向有一天像卡塔尔那样的道路。为此,我们要对西方媒体每天的精神病毒非常小心。

总结起来,发生在卡塔尔身上的,不只是中东的地区竞争,也是大国之间的权力竞争。在新加坡,我们应该密切关注那里的发展,最重要的是要从卡塔尔目前的困境中吸取教训。

责任编辑:高宗影 CN060
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