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台最新民调:国民党第二大党地位受"时代力量"挑战

2016-07-27 14:50:03   观察者网

除了国、民两大党外,作为小党的“时代力量”能够杀出重围,也引发了现场专家学者热议。

彭怀恩表达得很直接,他认为目前“立委”选制仍采单一选区,比较有利于两个主要政党,“时代力量”不太可能取代国民党。

施正锋反问:单一选区的特性让“猪羊变色”有了可能性,“但民进党允许吗?”

游盈隆表示,“时代力量”的支持度几乎与国民党不相上下,这意味着两党的社会基础几乎不相上下,未来是否能取代国民党成为第二大党,值得观察。

游盈隆指出,“时代力量”对民进党也是个压力团体,例如在“两岸监督条例”上,“时代力量”反对“一国两区”,坚持“一边一国”,相较于蔡英文采取“一国两区”立场,就获得了大量支持。25-34岁支持“时代力量”的比率高过民进党,这显示“时代力量”对年轻世代的吸引力要强于民进党。

“时代力量”能否超越国民党,金恒炜认为,关键在于能够与民进党作出区分;若无法区隔,未来发展性愈小。

金恒炜说:“它和民进党的区不区分,其实民进党有一块,也就是蔡英文从本土往中间挪,过程会丢下很多东西来,看起来‘时代力量’在这一块上没有着力,我觉得这一块就是将来它能不能发展。”

金恒炜还说,民进党已经执政,所有的资源和影响力都在手上,“时代力量”要打出一条血路,确实很辛苦,所以一定要看清楚利益和基本盘在哪里。

杨泰顺则强调,当年新党兴起的气势比“时代力量”还高很多,但现新党气势何在?他本人对“时代力量”并不看好。

观察者网综合台湾东森新闻、联合报、风传媒、新头壳等

附:台湾民意基金会其他十大问题

一、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较能代表“中国人的利益”?51.4%国民党,16.5%民进党,1.7%亲民党,1.5%时代力量。

二、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较能代表“台湾人的利益”?41.1%民进党,19.8%国民党,5.8%时代力量,2.2%亲民党。

三、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“具有改革的魄力与决心”?47.7%民进党,9.1%国民党,11.3%时代力量,3%亲民党。

四、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“清廉”?28.8%民进党,9.2%国民党,12.8%时代力量,4.6%亲民党。

五、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“代表一般老百姓(普通人或平民老百姓)的利益?45%民进党,12.9%国民党,10%时代力量,2.9%亲民党。

六、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“重视劳工与农渔民的利益”?44.1%民进党,14.1%国民党,6.5%时代力量,2.8%亲民党。

七、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“坚决反对废除死刑”?26.9%民进党,19.5%国民党,8.2%时代力量,2.8%亲民党。

八、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较重视经济发展?39.6%民进党,28.1%国民党,0.7%时代力量,1.1%亲民党。

九、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较重视自由与人权(包括同志)的自由与权利?结果显示,46.9%民进党,9.6%国民党、7.9%时代力量,1%亲民党。

十、在这些政党中,哪个政党比较“有激进暴力的倾向”(用激烈的手段推动重大政治社会改革?)43.6%民进党,17.1%国民党,4.3%时代力量,0.2%亲民党。

责任编辑:陈倩 CN030
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