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其二是此次试验的设置环境近似于实战条件。美导弹防御局在声明中提到,进行试验的“萨德”系统的操作员提前并不知道模拟目标的发射时间、目标的射向、飞行轨迹,以及其他要素。之前进行的反导试验,为了提高试验效率,减少人为失误,通常会通报部分目标导弹飞行数据,便于反导系统的探测跟踪。此次试验,在这样苛刻的条件下,“萨德”系统能够成功完成预警、探测、跟踪、发射、拦截目标一系列流程,证明其已经具备成熟的实战化战备状态。
随着朝鲜开发导弹的进程加快,美国在亚太地区的导弹防御系统也在不断加快建设。美导弹防御局计划今年年底前进行下一次萨德试验,试验将着重收集数据,这说明现有的萨德系统基本已经完成定型,预示美在韩国部署的萨德系统已经可以投入战备值班。当前,“萨德”系统与美之前在韩国部署的“爱国者-3”型反导系统,以及美部署在亚太舰艇上的“海基宙斯盾”反导系统一起,已经构建起了较为完善的反导防御网。此外,作为美国的盟国——日本也已经让装备有“海基宙斯盾”反导系统的驱逐舰服役,且正在准备引进陆基宙斯盾反导系统。
在二十一世纪的东亚地区,中美俄之间的战略力量平衡是维护地区安全的一块重要基石。但是当前,东亚却成为美国及其盟国反导武器汇集的前沿。以美国为首所搭建的反导网,明里是应对朝鲜的现实导弹威胁,暗里却严重削弱了中国和俄罗斯的战略导弹威慑能力。美国搭建的反导防御网,看似为其盟国盖上了保护罩,但是却触发了地区军备竞争的按钮。东亚地区安全威胁并没有随着美国反导系统的建立而消除,反而愈发复杂和严重。美日韩三国的确应该及时反思一下,应对朝鲜导弹威胁,是否只有建设反导系统这一条死路。
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