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大选前民调急转弯,英国还能“脱欧”吗?

2017-06-08 14:19:31   海外网

大选结果对“脱欧”的影响

尽管英国宣布提前大选以来工党支持率大幅上升,但能否最终翻盘还不好说。舆论一般认为,梅预计将在6月8日大选中获胜,但保守党民调领先优势大幅缩小,表明其为脱欧谈判争取更有力支持而提前举行大选的决定值得怀疑。

不管大选结果如何,可以肯定的是,英国大选将决定英国在退出欧盟进程中持何种立场以及英欧最终将形成何种关系。

本次大选中,“脱欧”是选战中的重要议题,各党在竞选宣言中均围绕英国是否“脱欧”、应如何“脱欧”给出自己的立场,争取选民。保守党承诺英国将退出欧洲共同市场和欧盟关税同盟,兑现此前“硬脱欧”诺言,并强调如果英国在谈判中未能与欧盟达成任何协议,英国仍将“脱欧”;工党则反对在没有与欧盟达成协议的情况下“脱欧”;自由民主党则表示,将把最终的“脱欧”协议交给英国人民表决,并将“留欧”作为选项之一,这意味着该党实质上提出“二次脱欧公投”;苏格兰民族党则指责保守党的竞选宣言意在“鲁莽地推进‘硬脱欧’”,并称这将危及英国的就业、投资与民生。

梅首相在5月30日的一场竞选造势活动中重申应确保政府有强大领导力,以应对欧盟在英国退欧方面“咄咄逼人”的立场。梅重申,可能在未与欧盟达成协议的情况下停止谈判。英国工党党魁柯尔宾则表示,如果当选则会确保达成协议。英国工党的“脱欧”发言人斯塔梅(KeirStarmer)爵士日前接受采访表示,工党将拒绝欧洲法院在脱欧后对欧盟在英公民权力的裁判权,但可以接受欧洲法院在贸易争端中继续发挥作用。斯塔梅还表示,工党如果在大选中获胜,将在脱欧谈判上采取“团队合作”模式,而不会像保守党一样依靠特蕾莎·梅的直接和独断领导。梅与柯尔宾截然相反的立场,将决定英国与欧盟未来两年谈判的基调。

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