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信用申购引投资者疯抢 券商可转债业务微利赚吆喝

2017-09-27 07:17:54   

蜂拥而至的散户投资者让雨虹转债中签率创出新低。东方雨虹晚间公告称,最终雨虹转债网上中签率为0.0013187948%,有效申购户数为261.65万户。

在东方雨虹转债的发行遭遇投资者疯抢之后,有业内人士预计,目前可转债申购就像免费抽奖,低门槛将使“低中签率、全民打新”成为常态。

供给将迎来爆发

券商拉拢新股民神器

上海某大型上市券商的一位投行人士对《证券日报》记者表示,此次可转债申购新规落地,最重要也是最直接的影响是,传统转债的发行即将再次拉开帷幕。此前由于系统改造等原因,新债迟迟未能放量,随着新修订的《办法》正式实施,信用申购扫清了转债发行的最后障碍,前期堆积的一些已过会公司将会逐步发行,转债供给将迎来爆发。

同花顺数据显示,2017年以来累计待发行可转债117只,合计金额为3068.68亿元。其中,证监会已经审核通过但尚未发行的有16支,募资金额合计289.7亿元。这和2016年仅3家公司公告发行可转债预案形成了鲜明对比。

对此,华创证券在研报中指出,转债预案的不断增加,主要是因为定增受到限制。今年定增市场相对去年可能有6000亿元的缺口,如果假设有一半改为发转债,约为3000亿元,不考虑定增终止改为发转债的,已公布预案规模在2300亿元左右,也就是说可能还有700亿元规模,加上后期终止定增改转债的,估计今年后面还有1000亿元左右规模;数量上,按之前每月公布预案的情况看,估计可能还会有50家至60家左右。

上述投行人士对记者表示,目前可转债业务处于“微利”。只要是发债的项目,费率都不会收得太高,大概1%左右。同时发行规模并不大,普遍在10亿元左右。因此,相对于IPO和定增,可转债给券商带来的收入其实十分有限。不过,每一次新股的大扩容,同时也是股民的大扩容,而随着“全民打新债”时代的到来,可能导致新股民大扩容,对券商而言可能构成更长远的利好。

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