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倒卖关停指标引证监会关注 风电能助华银电力扭亏为盈吗?
2017-09-26 08:52:54 中国经济网
保持风电项目盈利能力的稳定,是华银电力必须面对的压力。如何应对接下来风电行业新一轮的大洗牌,将是更大的挑战。
上一次市场洗牌是在2006年前后,以华锐风电为代表的企业通过门槛低、成效快的技术引进迅速占领新兴的风电市场。企业蜂拥而至,出现产能过剩、无序竞争的局面,导致2011年风电整机厂商出现明显业绩下滑。
2016年北京国际风能大会上,中国风能协会秘书长秦海岩即预测:“未来,中国风电产业将加速淘汰整合。”
国家能源局发布的数据显示,2017年上半年,全国风电新增并网容量601万千瓦,相比于2016年的新增774万千瓦,增速正在放缓。另一方面,中国风电的产能利用率也在降低。有媒体援引中国风能协会内部人士说法称,2016年国内风电产能利用率可能降至50%,明显低于80%~85%的国际水平。
另一大利空是,风电平价上网的趋势日益清晰。2016年12月26日,国家发改委宣布,2018年1月1日之后,一类至四类资源区新核准建设陆上风电标杆上网电价分别调整为每千瓦时0.40元、0.45元、0.49元、0.57元,比2016—2017年电价每千瓦时降低7分、5分、5分、3分。
华银电力此次定增的6个风电场均位于南方中低风速的四类资源区,投产时的电价将下降5%,对收益率本就不到10%的风电项目来说,未来盈利能力堪忧。
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