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有色股各有各精彩 黄金价跌黄金股未必跌
2017-09-26 07:57:53 中国经济网
云南铜业等上市公司,也拥有国企改革与兼并重组的可能性,是国内有色行业龙头、国企背景大型上市公司。在增发、员工持股、资产变更方面近期均有大的动作,间接受益于供给侧结构性改革。
投资建议:
铜期货的短线走势里,仍有探底需求,投资者操作需要谨慎。但铜业股票的投资价值却不容置疑。云南铜业中报净利润同比暴增11倍,铜陵有色净利润同比增长4.11倍,江西铜业净利润增长75.38%。值得中线价值投资者关注。
贵金属:金价走势危险 黄金股仍有价值
贵金属的未来走势与国内的政策面都没有太紧密的关系,主要决定于美联储货币政策以及美元的走势。而恰恰是后一点,上周末发生了重大利空变化,使得贵金属走势急转直下:由于美联储议息会议决定缩表且态度强硬,12月加息、2018年加息的预期增强,但凡加息,就是不利于黄金价格的走势。
为此,金价大幅度下行,跌破了1300美元/盎司大关。
中国国庆长假前后,黄金价格是否能守得住1290美元/盎司关口,是其中线走势的关键:如果守得住,则后市仍有多次反弹机会,证明市场多头“人气仍旺”。如果守不住,则“底部”难以预测。
投资建议:
前期对黄金市场抱以厚望的投资者不得不转换态度,暂时密切关注,不建议迅速“抄底”或做多。对比黄金产品,黄金股的前景依然较好,但不是基于业绩,而是在资产兼并重组的预期上。以山东黄金为代表的中国黄金采掘企业,目前仍在大张旗鼓地收购境外的金矿,而中金黄金旗下企业则是国有企业改革的第二批重点单位。仅从中报来看,黄金上市公司并非出彩,山东黄金净利润仅仅增长了19%。
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