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定增主题基金面临窘境 九泰锐益申赎比例仅0.0281%

2017-09-22 08:17:14   中国经济网

按照公告数据,该基金在9月13日至19日的5个交易开放日中,累计申购份额为16.74万份,合计赎回份额为2.15亿份,净赎回份额高达2.15亿份。你没看错,16.74万份的申购在2个多亿的赎回面前几乎可以忽略不计,整体申赎确认比例为0.0778%。

从今天发布公告的确认比例看,9月19日申购为1.17万份,赎回高达4153.08万份,确认比例为0.0281%,这一数据比许多新股中签率还要低。

从新股中签率看,今年以来上市的339只新股平均中签率为0.0314%,9月份新上市的25只新股中,也有14只中签率超过0.0281%。而且,在上述5个开放日中连续5天都是赎回大比例超过申购,为何一度火热的定增基金开始成为资金的“弃儿”,在开放日争相出逃呢?

9月以来新股中签率前十(数据来源:Wind)

减持新规让资金成“惊弓之鸟”

长期投资价值仍可期

业内人士认为,定增基金遭遇投资者净赎回,可能与此前出台的减持新规有很大关系,投资者比较关心资金的流动性。

按照今年5月底出台的减持新规的要求,通过定增获得股份的股东,在锁定期满后12个月内只能以集中竞价方式减持50%,还要受90日内减持总数不超过股份总数1%的限制。据业内人士测算,原本锁定一年后即可完成对定增股份的减持,而根据减持新规,要完全减持至少需要在定增完成后的两年。

北京一位大型公募基金经理认为,当前投资者赎回定增基金原因无非是三个:

一是对资金流动性有要求,因为半年才开放一次,有流动性需求的需要提前做好资金安排;

二是在定增基金中,这只基金收益率相对不高,在牺牲流动性的前提下也没有获得很好的投资回报,投资的性价比会降低;

三是体现了投资者对减持新规的担忧,这主要涉及基金的持股比例,如果持有的定增股票比例过高,可能会有一些流动性压力,但减持新规下也还有大宗交易、公司自购等途径,公司基于自身声誉的考虑一般也是会兑付的。

从基金业绩来看,截至9月20日收盘,今年九泰锐益定增收益率为4.23%,基金经理刘开运管理的九泰锐智定增也是市场的明星定增产品,成立两年多来收益率高达47.97%,今年也斩获了9.79%的收益。

北京上述大型公募基金经理说,“投资者情绪可能受新规影响较大,如同‘惊弓之鸟’。实际上,现在到期的定增基金也完成了平稳转型,并没有出现兑付的风险。”

而成立于2016年8月的九泰锐益定增基金,距离2021年8月到期日还有约4年时间,基金是可以从容建仓或减持的。

不过,该基金经理认为,如果不是基于流动性担忧,而是有长期资金去参与的话,定增基金仍然是不错的投资选择。

该基金经理说,“因为在减持新规后,基金拿到定增股票的折价率整体上有所放大,而且监管趋严也让更多优质公司获得定向增发资格,现在市场时点也相对合理,这意味着定增基金的投资‘安全垫’更高了。如果从长期投资的角度看,长期资金持有定增基金仍然是当前市场下性价比比较高的选择。”

今年基金中报数据显示,九泰锐益定增持有的股票市值占基金资产净值比例为74.82%,该基金的总份额为22.44亿份,场内流通份额为16.17亿份,目前场内份额贴水率高达20.1%。

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