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中国7月继续增持美债 稳居美国第一大债权国
2017-09-20 07:17:03 中国经济网
在持续增持美国国债的同时,我国的外汇储备规模也逐渐增加。国家外管局最新公布的数据显示,截至今年8月末,我国外汇储备余额连续7个月增加,回升至3.0915万亿美元。
中国民生银行首席研究员温彬对《每日经济新闻》记者表示,今年上半年我国宏观经济持续向好,经济先行指标PMI连续13个月保持在经济荣枯线50以上,人民币对美元升值预期进一步强化。8月份人民币对美元升值2%左右,成为影响外汇储备增加的主要因素。7月份,由于美元贬值近3%,估值变动是影响当月新增外汇储备的主要因素。
进入2017年以来,随着人民币对美元汇率的走高,我国资本流出压力大幅缓解,跨境资金流动趋于平衡。9月18日,国家外汇局公布的结售汇数据显示,8月份,我国银行结汇环比增长11%,售汇增长1%,结售汇逆差38亿美元,下降75%;远期结售汇签约顺差31亿美元,环比增加18%,连续第5个月顺差;同时,非银行部门涉外收入环比增长14%,涉外支出增长6%,涉外收付款逆差35亿美元,下降84%。
国家外管局新闻发言人表示,8月份我国跨境资金流动更趋平衡。具体来看,一是境内外汇供求继续呈现基本平衡;二是非银行部门涉外收付款逆差大幅收窄。此外,自6月27日~9月8日期间,在、离岸人民币对美元即期汇率均大幅升值,引起了各界的广泛关注。不少从事进出口业务的上市公司纷纷发布公告,计划开展远期结售汇和跨期保值等业务。
9月8日,央行下发通知,取消境外人民币业务参加行在境内代理行存放存款准备金。从9月11日起,外汇风险准备金率从20%调整为零。对此,联讯证券首席宏观研究员李奇霖分析认为,从效果来看,这本身释放出了央行稳定人民币汇率的信号,而其实际作用则是有利于降低企业的远期购汇成本。按照8月远期售汇签约额75亿美元计算,准备金率的调整将给银行节省约15亿美元的头寸与相应的融资成本。展望未来,预计人民币继续维持迅猛升势的概率较小。
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