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新能源汽车周期向上 逢低淘金两细分领域
2017-09-13 07:41:36 中国经济网
特锐德(300001)运营数量领先行业
中泰证券分析师邵晶鑫表示,根据充电桩联盟数据,截止今年6月,特锐德公司累计投建充电桩约17.7万个、上线运营10万余个,位列全国第一,龙头地位不言而喻。目前公司日充电量约达130万度,累计充电量超过3亿度。在建立同行业合作伙伴方面,公司与国家电网达成全面战略合作协议,今年也中标成都BOT公交充电站;在跨界合作方面,公司还与新华网、上海交大、支付宝、首汽GO-FUN等进行合作。预计公司在2019年先期充电桩布局收入望迎来明显的拐点,拉动业绩显著提升。
北巴传媒(600386)充电运营收获在即
西南证券分析师李佳颖表示,北京推进新能源汽车发展给北巴传媒打开盈利空间。北京在推广新能源汽车上不遗余力,取消新能源汽车的限购政策并给予相当程度的购置补贴。北京市新能源公交替代率大幅提升,预计 “十三五”期间总计替换1-1.5万辆汽柴油公交车。公司是充电运营领域的先行者,2016年,共开工建设20个充电站,其中投建服务公交车辆的充电桩155个、投建服务社会车辆的充电桩34个。未来两年随着政策逐步兑现,公司将实现营收的高速增长。
许继电气(000400)充电桩业务成看点
联讯证券分析师夏春秋认为,许继电气积极布局充电桩业务,研制了统一潮流控制器、电动汽车新型直流快充设备。2016年充电桩业务高速增长,实现收入8.97亿元,同比增长62.67%,表现抢眼。能源局在《2017年能源工作指导意见通知》中明确,年内计划建成充电桩90万个。这些利好政策预示着从今年下半年开始,公司充电桩业务将迎来绝佳的发展机遇。
锂电池
政策力挺 有望强者恒强
新能源汽车销量出现明显增长。据乘联会发布的数据显示,8月新能源乘用车销量5.4万辆,环比增长25%,畅销车型继续拉动配套电池企业出货量。值得一提的是,工信部副部长辛国斌在2017中国汽车产业发展(泰达)国际论坛表示,工信部已启动燃油车退出时间表研究,近期将发布双积分政策。
中金公司分析师李璇表示,燃油车禁售表、双积分政策逐渐落地,将助力新能源车市场快速健康发展。具有技术等优势的锂电池与材料龙头公司强者恒强。华金证券分析师林帆预计,2017-2020年我国动力电池复合增速将达59%,而三元锂电池的复合增速将高达88%;到2020年,三元锂电池的渗透率有望达80.4%,2016年三元锂渗透率约为23.4%。
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