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工程机械行业“暖风”依旧

2017-09-08 21:26:46   中国经济网

二是进一步推进PPP模式的发展,坚定社会资本投资PPP项目的决心。

在各地经济规划的方案中,与2016年相比,基础设施建设投资规模成为各地政府2017年工作报告中被广为关注的焦点。其中,新疆确定全区2017年固定资产计划投资1.5万亿元,计划投资增速超过50%;广东省2017年固定资产计划投资3.8万亿元,较2016年同比增长15%;福建省固定资产计划投资2.66万亿元,较2016年同比增长15%;内蒙古2017年固定资产计划投资1.71万亿元,较2016年同比增长12%;天津固定资产计划投资1.61万亿元,较2016年同比增长10%。

相比政府的投资规划,下游企业出色的业绩和巨额的订单或许对行业发展的推动显得更实在一些。

作为全球最大建筑工程承包商之一的中国中铁上半年实现营业收入3002.78亿元,同比增长9.76%,实现归母净利润77.07亿元,同比增长41.09%,增幅创2013年以来新高。

在订单方面,中国中铁上半年累计新签合同额5617.3亿元,同比增长34.5%。从业务结构来看,基建业务新签合同额4751.8亿元,同比增长32.5%,占新签合同总额的84.6%,其中核心板块基建中公路新签合同金额1115亿元,大幅增长149.8%;城市轨道交通新签订单1137.3亿元,同比增长44.2%,这主要受益于PPP项目的推进。

位列2017年《财富》“世界500强企业”第58位的中国铁建上半年新签合同5517亿元,同比增长46.85%。其中,公路工程、城市轨道工程和市政工程新签合同金额分别增长107.38%、134.71%和142.81%,主要受基建PPP项目落地和国内城市轨交投资增长拉动;房地产业务新签合同351亿元,同比增长68.62%,销售面积250.13万平米,同比增长37.38%,未来发展相当可观。

值得一提的是,中国铁建上半年新签合同额为年度计划的41.80%,预示着下半年公司仍将扩展业务规模。

位列2017年《财富》“世界500强企业”第24位的中国建筑上半年建筑业务新签合同额1.20万亿元,同比增长33.7%。从业务结构来看,房建业务新签合同额8234亿元,同比增长23.4%,占比68.9%;基建业务新签合同额3667亿元,同比增长64.5%,占比30.7%。房建业务仍是公司新签合同额增长的最主要来源,值得一提的是,基建业务成为新签合同额增长的重要动力。

身为全球领先的特大型基础设施综合服务商中国交建上半年新签合同额为4312.40亿元,同比增长51.95%。从业务结构来看,基建业务仍是公司新签合同额的最主要来源,新签合同额为3763.77亿元,同比增长57.73%。其中,道路与桥梁建设项目上半年新签合同1155.94亿元,同比增长80.69%;市政与环保项目新签合同770.93亿元,同比增长237.15%,成为基建业务新签合同额大幅增长的重要驱动因素。

工程机械行业下半年或延续上涨行情。根据以往规律,该行业景气周期为3年左右,此次回暖行情从2016年6月开始,至今才一年多时间,下半年持续上涨符合行业惯性。加之2017年项目开工量巨大,已开工项目带动新需求将继续增加,下半年如无特殊情况将持续上升行情,但行业也有季节性特点,一般是上半年的行情普遍好于下半年,并且近期环保检查也会产生一些消极影响,所以下半年的业绩增速或小于上半年。

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