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个人房贷“量跌价升” 刚需购房者承压

2017-09-08 07:22:04   中国经济网

不仅是利率的上浮,首付比例的提高对购房者来说也是不小的压力。易居研究院智库中心研究总监严跃进表示,由于当前部分城市采取“认房又认贷”的政策,很多在老家已经购房的群体,到大城市继续购房,首付比例就会很高,如果利率也同时提高,对这类刚需群体来说压力不小。

房贷利率尤其是首套房利率的提高是否意味着房地产调控影响了刚需?中国社科院金融研究所银行研究室主任曾刚表示,今年以来,在金融去杠杆、货币政策稳健中性的背景下,市场资金价格整体处于上行趋势,势必会传导到包括住房按揭贷款在内的信贷市场上。

事实上,监管部门一直要求银行实施差异化的住房信贷政策。银监会政策研究局副局长徐洁勤表示,要牢牢把握住房居住属性,分类调控,因地因城施策,督促银行业金融机构落实差别化住房信贷政策,同时大力支持居民自住和进城人群购房需求等。

北京银监局发布的数据显示,今年6月发放的个人住房贷款中,对无房群体发放的贷款金额占比83.11%、贷款户数占比81.17%,两项占比均环比明显提高。

政策调控下楼市走向

在各项政策持续调控作用下,房地产市场已出现降温态势。国家统计局数据显示,7月份,国家统计局监测的全国15个热点城市中,有10个城市新建商品住宅价格下降或持平;5个城市微涨,最高涨幅为广州的0.4%。二线城市新建商品住宅和二手住宅价格环比均上涨0.4%,涨幅均比上月回落0.2个百分点。

严跃进表示,各类收紧政策会提高购房的成本和门槛,对一些投资投机需求产生明显的抑制作用,使房地产市场的交易规模出现下滑,进而带来了价格持续上涨态势的抑制,灰犀牛式的房地产金融风险会减少。

而对正准备生二胎、有着迫切的改善性需求的刘女士来说,高房价依然是其不能承受之重。

刘女士告诉记者,家里的常住人口未来不会少于6人,现在87平方米的住房完全不够住。如果买房,每月固定支出得将近3万元,着实有些承受不起。“现在的房价虽然较年前跌了一些,但幅度很小,价格还是过高,不是工薪阶层通过个人努力就能买得起的。”

曾刚表示,今年房贷增速较去年会有大幅放缓,这一方面和房地产调控有关,另一方面也和银行自身贷款结构的主动调整有关。“实际上,不考虑监管部门的指导要求,从自身收益和流动性管理的角度出发,银行也会主动进行资产配置的调整。”他表示,在资金成本上升、负债期限越来越短的情况下,银行发放收益率不高、期限长的住房按揭贷款的意愿在下降。

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