新闻 > 经济
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China

影响下半年经济 走势的两大因素

2017-09-02 07:25:57   中国经济网

供需两端库存指数下降,补库存意愿走弱。产成品库存连续4个月下降至45.5%,累计下降了2.7%;原材料库存连续2个月下降至48.3%,累计降幅相对较小,为0.3%。供需两端库存指数都在持续下降,表明企业补库存意愿走弱,对市场前景较为谨慎。

非制造业PMI显著回落

8月份非制造业PMI为53.4%,比上个月显著下降1.1个百分点,已经连续两个月下降,为2016年6月份以来最低。非制造业PMI回落主要是受到建筑业景气度大幅下降的影响。建筑业PMI大幅下降4.5个百分点至58%,呈高位回落特点,近一年来第一次低于60%。8月份高温和暴雨台风天气是导致建筑业生产大幅放缓的重要原因。建筑业PMI分析指数中的土木工程建筑业商务活动指数降至53.1%,降幅明显,可能是房地产投资进入下行期带来的影响。服务业扩张速度放缓,服务业PMI下降0.5个百分点至52.6%,7月份、8月份都有下降,很大程度上是受到房地产相关的服务性产业和极端天气影响较重的商贸零售业走弱的影响。

由于制造业PMI超预期上升,生产仍在加快,表明当前经济增长动能保持良好。非制造业PMI显著回落,未来经济增长仍存不确定因素,影响未来经济增长的因素主要有两个:上半年出口增长有助于制造业,但新出口订单下降表明外需走弱苗头可能出现,未来是否会影响制造业生产值得关注,下半年出口对经济增长的拉动可能走弱,不过全年出口将好于去年;房地产市场降温的后续影响仍将加重,不但波及建筑业运行,可能还会影响制造业生产。

(连平系交通银行首席经济学家,刘学智系交通银行金融研究中心高级研究员)

本版文章仅代表作者个人观点 不代表本报观点

上一页2/2下一页
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170902/31260805_2.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/11/30 19:40:32

Powered by China
China