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民营炼化龙头崛起

2017-08-25 07:22:14   中国经济网

将与三桶油等国企抗衡

2015年以来,国家政策不断对民营炼化企业开放,同时受益于低油价,炼化行业盈利向好,民营企业也有很大的动力增加投资扩大产能。

数据显示,2016 年中国炼油行业的利润达到了1700亿元,石化行业的盈利也创下历史新高,因此企业有意愿并且有能力去投资新的装置。

根据光大证券的统计,PTA 巨头目前投资超3000亿元新建4座炼化一体化厂,到2020年将会给行业带来8400万吨/年的产能。民营企业不断扩大的产能,已经与中石油、中石化以及其它国营炼厂抗衡。

随着民营炼化巨头的崛起,以中石化和中石油为首的国营炼厂也感到了压力。为了应对民营企业的挑战,同时顺应发展趋势,国有石化企业开始打造大规模炼化基地。

据了解,中石化计划“十三五”期间,投资2000亿元,优化升级打造茂湛、镇海、上海和南京四个世界级炼化基地。四大基地优化升级后,总炼油能力将达到1.3 亿吨/年,新增4000万吨/年的产能。

除中石化外,中石油、中化集团、中海油集团、兵器集团也在全面发力,将全面升级扩建现有装置。

隆众石化网分析师赵桂珍向《证券日报》记者表示,浙江石化炼化一体化项目正在加紧建设。该项目的顺利推进,将意味着民企有实力与国营巨头展开PK。

她认为,虽然三大民营股东大都是石化行业的终端产品——化纤起家,但炼油项目的建成投产,将意味着对包括原油进口、炼油及成品油分销板块的改革提出新的课题,一定程度上或将改写华东成品油的主营与地炼的强势对抗格局,扩充芳烃、烯烃市场的现有版图。

光大证券分析师裘孝锋还指出,未来我国的炼化产业将形成中石油、中石化、其它国企和民营企业四足鼎立的格局。国内新增产能不断扩大以及国家重点建设石化产业基地将重塑多元化市场主体,未来1年-2年民营资本的进入对于整个炼化行业影响较大。

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