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逾620万手突然撤单!联通盘中开板十分钟,谁在跑路?

2017-08-22 17:45:55   中国经济网

中国联通H股7月以来走势图

听着是很有道理,但细细分析一下,这完全不对嘛。中国联通A股和H股情况特殊,两个股票对应资产不一样。所以跟其他AH股不一样。何况,中国联通H股的疲态已经非常明显,8月21日冲高回落,今日早盘又震荡下跌。

华创证券指出,中国联通港股是实际运营公司的资产的主体,A股是港股部分权益的股权公司。所以理论上讲港股的资产和A股的资产是1:0.333的关系。从此对应关系可知,中国联通A股股价已经是H股的2.4倍。

中国联通港股2000年上市,放入的资产是联通运营实体,也就是实际开展盈利的业务。联通集团成立联通BVI公司,持股港股的40.61%股份;在2001年,联通集团把其拥有联通BVI公司51%的股份作为资产和四部委出具的现金资产打包作为一个公司,在A股上市,所以在A股上市的联通资产是没有运营资产的,是股权+现金来上市的,经过多年重组之后,目前A股上市公司持有联通BVI公司82.1%股权。

所以中国联通港股和A股的关系就是:40.61%*82.1%=0.333,也就是说港股那边联通作为实际运营资产,产生1元的收益,归属到大股东联通BVI公司就是0.406元的收益,A股这边的上市公司只有BVI公司的82.1%股份,也就是说只有0.33元的收益。

据此测算,中国联通复牌前A股市值为1583亿元,港股市值2440亿元市值(理论上对应的A股市值是812亿)。

大家这下放心了吧,高估的是A股联通,大家也不用再拿AH价格说事了。

混改没怎么炒就歇菜了?

其实中国联通这次虽然大涨,但对于国企混改的带动作用并不强,像东方航空这样的首批混改公司还下跌了。

国企混改指数7月以来走势图

国企混改概念涨幅前十股票

国企混改概念跌幅前十股票

不难发现,今日国企混改概念指数依然疲软,下跌1.20%,跌幅在题材概念中位居首位。值得注意得是,今日涨幅前十的成分股只有中国联通一枝独秀,其他股票涨幅均有限。而跌幅前十的成分股则大幅下挫,跌幅较大。

证监会为联通混改“特事特办”,市场资金对联通复牌积极看好,但从中长期角度看,中国联通的混改任重而道远,绝非一朝一夕之功,短线大涨反而可能会透支中国联通的红利。与之相关的国企混改概念的表现可能会低于市场预期。记者:徐效鸿

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