新闻 > 经济
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China

朱邦凌:养老金买入中小创个股自有其投资逻辑

2017-08-21 18:08:44   中国经济网

随着蓝筹股、周期股的估值修复,如今蓝筹股、白马股涨幅过大,“性价比”不一定比部分中小创更高。

今年以来的蓝筹股以及白马股涨幅已经相当可观,估值已经处于相对高位。过分强调“以大为美”,与过去多年盛行的“以小为美”一样,都是比较片面和不足取的。

养老金入市即买入中小创个股,那么中小创目前估值处于什么阶段?

研究创业板的估值水平,应该从绝对估值和相对估值两个方面来看。截至8月16日,创业板的动态市盈率估值中位数是56.1倍,绝对估值水平依然不低。一些投资者对创业板不看好也不是没有道理,主要是觉得创业板估值还是很贵。

不过,股市中存在“锚定效应”。锚定效应在金融学里面是指投资者心里有个初始值,然后在预估的时候总会受这个初始值的影响,导致锚定效应下调整的不充分现象。就目前的创业板和新股次新股来说,就是长期下跌趋势中可能不定期出现弱势或强势反弹,在短期内它们不会一竿子戳到底,直接回归价值,而是在漫长过程中不断进行下跌修正,调整不充分现象将伴随着长期的估值回归过程。

中小创绝对估值依然不低,但相对估值已经处于低位。创业板一些个股在经历连续杀跌之后性价比明显上升。创业板56.1倍的动态市盈率估值中位数,和年初78.3倍相比下降28.4%,和2016年6月底的94.4倍相比下降40.6%,和2016年初的112.2倍相比下降50%,和2015年巅峰时150倍更是不可同日而语。

因此从估值角度看,当前创业板相对于上证A股的市盈率已经跌至2011年以来均值的1倍标准差以下,且已经非常接近历史低位水平,而相对市净率也已经跌至均值以下。这些指标均表明,目前创业板整体的相对估值已经基本处于低位。

同时我们也要看到,中小创股价支撑并不都是靠“讲故事”,部分公司业绩增速不逊于白马蓝筹股。半年报预披露情况显示,创业板中业绩增速在30%的个股占38%,截至8月16日两市共有799家公司披露中报,其中主板、中小板、创业板增速中位数分别为24%、21%和26%。

因此,虽然中小创整体的大机会并没有出现,但其中内生增速较高且确定、估值合理的标的将具有阶段性机会,与部分已经大幅炒作的白马股、蓝筹股相比,具有一定的性价比优势。

投资者需要牢记的是,在投资实践中不应有小票与漂亮蓝筹的泾渭分明。业绩支撑是王道,这或是养老金账户和证金公司进入中小创公司的投资逻辑。

(作者为财经专栏作家)

上一页2/2下一页
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11155042/20170821/31145970_2.html
Server: cms-9-53
Date: 2024/11/28 18:58:33

Powered by China
China