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房地产调控“年中考”:一旦松绑,楼市或临压力

2017-07-13 09:17:09   

◆ 购房需求强烈,房企拿地需求旺盛,房价上涨预期尚未降温

◆ 下一程面临切实推进房地产行业供给侧结构性改革和建立长效机制重任

自去年“9·30”新一轮楼市调控启动以来,房地产市场进入调控周期已逾9个月,从限购、限贷扩大到限价、限售、限商,本轮调控步入“五限”时代。《瞭望》新闻周刊记者初步梳理发现,当前全国超过60个城市出台多轮房地产市场调控措施,范围之广、力度之严堪称“史上之最”。

值得关注的是,《瞭望》新闻周刊记者连日在京津冀、长三角、珠三角等楼市热点地区调研了解到,多地楼市开启降温通道、市场交易应声而落,房价趋稳。调控已初见成效。同时,也需看到,目前各地调控措施以“限”为主,通过提高购房门槛、限定销售价格等方式抑制市场成交,购房需求发生了转化还是暂时等待时机,成为下一步房地产市场发展的未定因素。

采访中,专家们指出,围绕“房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的”的理念,经过“短、平、快”的密集调控之后,中长期的政策如何接续,成为调控下一步的关键。

最大范围、最大幅度的调控

2016年多地楼市异常火爆,虽然调控政策从10月陆续出台,但基于对后市看好,一、二线热点城市房价涨势延续至今年,楼市依然是暗流涌动。为稳控房地产市场,北京3月17日发布“认房又认贷”调控政策后,开启了新一轮范围更广、力度更严的楼市调控潮。

从北上广深等一线城市,到南京、杭州、厦门等热点二线城市,再到环京、环沪周边区域,调控升级成为房地产市场的“主旋律”。据不完全统计,自去年“9·30”调控以来,目前全国有超过60个城市或县区发布各种房地产调控政策160余次。

《瞭望》新闻周刊记者梳理发现,目前北上广深全部执行“认房又认贷”政策,且非户籍人口购房门槛均提高至5年。此外以北京为中心,河北涿州、崇礼、霸州、文安等也采取限购措施,构成环北京限购圈。环上海区域的浙江嘉善县等地则对新房、二手房全面限购。

同策咨询研究部总监张宏伟向《瞭望》新闻周刊记者表示,在热点城市严厉调控下,投机资金向热点区域周边的“非限”区域转移。一位热点城市房管部门负责人说,无论是广度还是深度上,这轮房地产调控不是小打小闹。它不仅是一个经济问题,已经成为一项政治任务,决心和力度都超以往,体现出地方政府坚决贯彻“房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的”的理念。

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