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重磅!A股四度闯关 终获MSCI认证(图)

2017-06-21 08:17:25   每日经济新闻

富国银行投资研究所投资策略分析师Peter Donisanu在接受CNBC采访时指出,如今,机构投资者对中国A股市场的信心更大了。

汇丰大中华区首席执行官Helen Wong在一份声明中表示:“(MSCI将A股纳入新兴市场指数)是一个过程的开始,中国股市将在全球投资者的投资组合中取得突出地位,反映出中国股市及其经济的规模和重要性。”

渣打银行的股票策略主管CliveMcDonnell在接受CNBC采访时表示,MSCI明晟将A股纳入新兴市场指数对中国来说并非”至关重要“,但在资本流动方面将是有益的。“从长期来看,这可能会对中国的资本流入产生积极影响,这将有助于在中期内支撑人民币汇率。”McDonnell说道。

汇丰大中华区首席执行官Helen Wong在一份声明中表示:“(MSCI将A股纳入新兴市场指数)是一个过程的开始,中国股市将在全球投资者的投资组合中取得突出地位,反映出中国股市及其经济的规模和重要性。”

入摩成功对A股具有重要意义

开源证券高级策略分析师杨海在接受每日经济新闻(微信号:nbdnews)记者采访时表示,A股入摩成功,在短期来看带来的资金量不会很大,折合人民币将在几百亿的体量上下。杨海指出,虽然资金量并不大,但风向标意义非常明确,就是投资选入的这些标的都是大金融、大消费、体量较大、流通性较好、盈利能力较强的企业,这类公司的选择方向,也会引领整个市场未来的价值投资方向。

每日经济新闻(微信号:nbdnews)记者注意到,回顾台湾股市和韩国股市入摩的经验,台湾在1996年9月入摩,初始纳入比例50%,2000年6月扩大至65%,同年12月又增至80%,至2005年5月全部纳入耗时9年;韩国在1992年1月入摩,初始纳入比例20%,1996年9月扩大至50%,至1998年9月全部纳入耗时6年。中银国际认为,全面入摩也可看作是中国资本账户逐步走向开放的过程,无疑需要相当长的一段时间。

就此,杨海认为,A股的纳入时间应该不会太长,在一年以后可能就会整体纳入,因为从经济体量上来看,需要这些标的。

“中国现在是全球第二大经济体,没有中国参与的,也不能算得上是新兴国家市场指数了,所以我认为这个纳入的进度会很快。”杨海说道。

▲前5大资本市场(数据来源:business insider)

但国金证券指出,A股被纳入MSCI,一方面考虑到按照MSCI批准成分股指数到实际调整指数的时间跨度,增量资金在2018年二季度前后才会入市A股;另一方面,理论增量资金总额是796亿人民币(且流入是一个缓慢的过程),相对于A股现在融资余额(8673亿)以及一天的成交近日(4000-6000亿)的规模来讲,实属“杯水车薪”。

“由此对于短期而言,积极的象征意义远大于实际资金面的影响。中长期来看,A股纳入MSCI指数体系将推动国际资金配置中国市场,促进A股国际化。”国金证券在研报中指出。

但国金证券同时写道,尽管此次A股成功入摩,但一般而言要在2018年5月中旬的MSCI半年度审核会议上才会宣布执行,生效时间为2018年6月1日。对此,明晟公司也在官方通报中宣布,纳入将从2018年6月开始实施,给投资人一年的准备时间。

一图看懂MSCI

(作者:蔡鼎;原标题:重磅!1亿股民盼了4年,A股终于获得这项国际权威认证!)

责任编辑:杨晓晨 CN067
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