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中国式PPP迎来高增长期 明年将适度约束房地产投资
2017年固定资产投资总额将增加
民生保障项目空间巨大
中央经济工作会议要求,明年的经济发展要“稳中求进”。国家发改委国际合作中心研究员、执行总监吴维海在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,根据中央经济工作会议的精神,从政府投资来看,明年可能重点投资于关系国计民生的社会保障性项目,如社保、医疗、教育,生态环境治理,以及公共基础设施项目,如城市轨道交通、能源资源供给等。
吴维海表示,固定资产投资可能重点投资于城市和农村基础设施和重大交通项目,以及基于供给侧结构性改革的重大工程或支柱性产业,如:传统制造业产业转型、各类技术改造、新能源和新材料等战略性新兴产业项目开发,以及航空航天、智能机器人等高精尖技术研发和空气质量与土壤修复等环境治理类项目等。
“从中央政府和各地区固定资产投资规模看,2017年受到国家货币政策和财政政策的直接、间接影响,各地区固定资产投资规模将保持必要的、适度的增长,全年投资总额将会增加。”吴维海告诉记者。
抑制房地产泡沫
预计2017年房地产投资增速为5%
华夏幸福产业研究院产业研究总监徐光瑞在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,从整体上看,2017年我国固定资产投资增速不会大幅回落,预计全年在8%左右。
徐光瑞表示,从结构上看,考虑到明年国家要深入推进“三去一降一补”取得实质性进展,同时要抑制房地产泡沫并防止出现大起大落,因此预计2017年房地产投资增速在5%左右,制造业投资增速保持在4.5%左右的水平。同时,基建将继续成为稳定投资乃至稳定增长的主要力量,结合今年相继发布的文件来看,2017年基建投资增速将保持在20%左右的水平,整体规模预计在16万亿元左右。
“总的来看,需要从四个方面着手促进投资,同时促进我国产业转型发展:一是发挥好政府投资的示范和杠杆作用,提高引领能力;二是营造良好的投资环境,加大产权保护力度,增强民营资本投资信心;三是加强投资资金监管,提高投资效率;四是利用好金融手段,借助债、股等多种方式实现重点领域投资资金的有效供给,促进战略性新兴产业发展壮大。”徐光瑞告诉记者。
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