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国海证券会议纪要流出 国债期货继续大跌!

2016-12-20 18:02:07   

第三,这个“萝卜章”是谁鉴定的?12月18日,国海证券发公告称,根据司法鉴定机构出具的鉴定结果,相关涉事协议中加盖的“国海证券股份有限公司”印章与公司在公安机关备案的印章不符。公安机关已对公司被伪造印章案件立案。

最后一个,也是最重要的问题,相关债券浮亏国海证券到底认不认?在会议纪要中,国海证券总裁项春生回应说,“认还是不认,我目前无法给大家一个满意的答案。但是我必须坦率地真诚地跟大家说,我现在确实给不了令你满意也特别开心的一个答案。为什么呢?因为国海证券是一个上市公司,是一个国有企业。国海证券内部有一个严格的程序,所以我不能忽悠大家。”

债市跌跌不休何时止?

今日开盘10年期国债期货主力合约快速下跌,早盘一度跌逾1%,5年期国债期货早盘一度跌0.9%。截至收盘,10年期国债期货主力合约T1703收盘跌1.15%报94.670元,盘中最大跌幅为1.47%;5年期国债期货主力合约TF1703收盘跌0.58%报97.835元,盘中最大跌幅为0.89%。

12月19日,5年期、10年期国债期货收盘数据

上周四债券市场出现暴跌,5年期国债期货和10年期国债期货主力合约遭遇史上首次跌停。不过,受央行MLF操作提振,上周五债市绝地反击,10年期债主力合约T1703暴涨1.3%,创上市以来最大涨幅。

今天,央行继续释放流动性,公开市场进行950亿元7天期逆回购操作,300亿元14天期逆回购操作,550亿元28天期逆回购操作。鉴于今日将有1150亿逆回购到期,央行公开市场今日净投放650亿元。此外央行对7天、14天和28天期逆回购需求进行询量。

然而银行间市场资金依然紧张,Shibor连续第五天全线上涨。其中隔夜Shibor报2.3350%,上涨0.50个基点;7天Shibor报2.5250%,上涨0.60个基点;3个月Shibor报3.1898%,上涨1.24个基点。

债券违约叠加流动性紧张,债市调整何时休?国泰君安徐寒飞在微信公众号“寒飞论债”中表示,债券市场的微观交易模式开始崩塌,债券市场仍未止血,机构的“杠杆”可能出现加速下降,而且短期的“解杠杆”过程导致的流动性需求会非线性上升,导致债券市场的短期调整会继续。

中信证券明明团队发布研报称,将流动性分为两个层次:宏观流动性和市场流动性,从宏观流动性的角度,货币总量较为充裕,央行呵护资金面之心不变,市场资金处于平衡状态。但从市场流动性角度,违约事件的发酵使得机构不愿意做代持双方的中间人,债券交易的活跃程度下降,债券市场本来交易活跃程度就远不及股市,违约事件下又增加了市场的紧张情绪,债市价格发现功能受到制约。债市前期动荡不定,违约事件爆发,市场情绪极度脆弱。如果市场交易制度在短期内难以改善,市场流动性紧张问题在短期内仍将持续,建议投资者保持谨慎。

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