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经济观察:政治局会议释下半年中国经济四大信号

2016-07-27 15:37:50   中国新闻网

所谓宏观税负,就是一国在一定时期政府收入占GDP的比重。据国际货币基金组织数据,2015年中国宏观税负为29.1%,与发达国家平均42.8%、发展中国家平均34.4%的水平相比,中国宏观税负并不高。

中国社科院财经战略研究院研究员杨志勇接受中新社记者采访时称,降低宏观税负是积极财政政策发力增效的题中应有之义。考虑到养老、医疗等公共服务支出压力,宏观税负不可能大幅度下降,但仍有下调空间。

在上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院教授胡怡建看来,宏观税负降低意味着未来政府占国民收入分配比重可能会下降,企业和居民个人的收入占比将会上升。

宏观经济政策将保持稳定

此次会议提出,要提高政策质量和透明度,用稳定的宏观经济政策稳住市场预期。

今年一季度中国对实体经济发放的人民币贷款创单季历史新高,带动经济短期回暖。但此次信贷宽松持续时间并不长。

“宏观经济政策的不确定性,造成上半年经济短期波动较大。”瑞穗证券首席经济学家沈建光说。

徐洪才指出,宏观经济政策在季度之间、上半年与下半年之间保持稳定,有利于减少货币市场的短期波动,增强市场对经济发展的信心。考虑到经济下行压力和需求不足问题仍存,下半年“降准是必选项”。(完)

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