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美俄外交“拉锯战”持续:美国取得三处俄外交设施控制权

2017-09-03 19:20:50   央广网

中国社科院俄罗斯问题专家孙壮志认为,在轮番角力中,俄美两国力求在对方国家的外交机构人数对等。这种人数上的“斤斤计较”正体现了俄美关系的微妙之处,“使馆规模和工作人员人数根据工作需要有一定的自主性,并没有说一个使馆的规模一定要多少人,或者说你方多少我方就要多少。友好国家不会在人数上做计较。这其实是两国关系进入冰点的一个体现。”

不过,在中国国际问题研究院美国研究所所长滕建群看来,美俄两国政府其实已经有意克制了所谓“制裁”的力度,并不希望让双方的矛盾进一步扩大,“从现在看,这一轮来来往往还是保留了一定的分寸,这次普京实际上还是留有回旋余地。美国9月1日开始的反制措施也保留了一定余地,并没有驱逐外交官。美国政府、包括美国国务院一方面要做给国内看,但也不希望外交大战进一步升级。”

即便两国总统都不希望美俄关系继续恶化,但至少美国方面的外交政策,并非特朗普一个人说了算。美国国会压倒性多数通过的制裁法案必须执行,而作为美国总统,特朗普终止制裁的权力也被国会投票剥夺。俄罗斯问题专家孙壮志、美国问题专家滕建群都指出,美俄关系的未来发展,依然很难突破目前的冰冷状态。

孙壮志认为,从国内来说,美国国内的反俄情绪,俄罗斯国内的反美情绪都是冷战以来的最低点。经贸联系现在基本上处于停滞状态,而且美国又进一步加大对俄罗斯的制裁力度,现在外交关系也降到了一个很低的水平,对俄美关系的未来走势来说评价比较悲观。

滕建群预测美俄关系不会好到哪里去,原因是“特朗普已经被束缚手脚,美国外交已经被少数集团绑架,再加上特朗普确实缺乏真正了解情况的高级外交官”。

中国有句俗话,“一个巴掌拍不响”。而在形容美国近来的外交政策时,俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫也使用了一个类似的比喻,“普京总统已经多次表示,我们不想和美国吵架,我们对美国人一直都很友善,就算是现在,如果符合俄罗斯国家利益,我们也愿意同美国展开建设性对话,我们真诚希望双方关系能正常化。但是如你们所见,两个人配合才能跳探戈,而现在看起来,美国更喜欢一次次独自跳霹雳舞。”

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