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舒尔茨“新人效应”未能“趁热打铁” 默克尔有望今秋第3次连任

2017-08-28 14:40:59   央广网

另外,舒尔茨对默克尔在应对是否禁售柴油发动机的问题上所展现出来的态度也颇为不满,认为默克尔毫无计划。

对于舒尔茨的攻击,默克尔并未做出直接回应。她在同一天接受德国电视2台的采访时表示,在担任德国的总理期间,自己一直秉承的理念是为德国人民的福祉而努力。与此同时,她很期待9月3日与舒尔茨的电视辩论。

另外,德国民调机构27日公布的每周民调结果显示,默克尔所在的基民盟支持率下降了一个百分点,至38%。而她的主要竞争对手,舒尔茨领导的社民党支持率同样下降了一个百分点,至23%。相反,自民党和选择党的支持率各增加一个百分点,至9%和8%;反对资本主义的左翼党支持率保持在9%;绿党的支持率下降了一个百分点,至7%。

默克尔成德政坛“常青树”一步之遥

德国基督教民主联盟主席默克尔自2005年11月成为德国首任女总理以来,已经于2009年和2013年2次连任。倘若默克尔今年秋天第3次连任,那么她将有望在4年后追平德国前总理科尔,成为联邦德国历史上第2位连续执政16年的总理。目前看来,默克尔距离成为德国政坛的“常青树”只有一步之遥。

中国人民大学“让·莫内讲席教授”、欧盟研究中心主任王义桅观察,默克尔之所以可以长期执政有3方面的原因:第一,债务危机以来,欧洲缺少领导核心。德国作为欧洲的领导国家,首先要有一个强有力的领导人。所以,默克尔在治理像希腊这样的问题国家过程中表现出的强硬立场,现在证明起了作用。在她的领导下,对债务危机的应对非常有效。第二,在危机重重的情况下,一般都需要一个强有力的领导人。比如,马克龙当选后不久就被誉为“小拿破仑”,法国对他寄予极高的期望。这都反映了这个时代的趋势。原来,这种多党轮流执政,现在欧洲的政局特别需要一个强有力的领导人,能够带动人民走出困境,确立未来的信心。应该讲,默克尔就承担起这个使命。第三,跟她个人也有关系。她在东德长大的,80年代初就作为一个未来领导人的候选者。有这个专业背景,又是位女性,在现在的西欧乃至整个欧洲,重视女性领导人,重视从东德出身的,帮助东、西德间心灵上的统一,树立了很好的样板。

不过,默克尔目前这种“坐等当选”的局面在1年之前还难以想象。在德国《星期日图片报》于去年8月发布的民调中,有50%的受访者反对默克尔连任,支持者仅占到42%。而去年11月默克尔宣布竞选连任时,几乎所有的分析人士都认为这将是她执政以来最艰难的选战。那么,是什么样的原因让默克尔的支持率“止跌回升”呢?

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