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韩美打起自贸协定修订“攻防战”

2017-08-28 06:16:56   中国青年网

另一方面是担忧。韩国舆论认为,这件事表面上看是韩美FTA问题,但实际反映了特朗普政府的贸易保护主义倾向,韩国受到冲击在所难免。有分析认为,如果修订韩美FTA,韩国未来5年间将最多损失170亿美元。尤其以对韩国汽车企业的冲击最大,韩国汽车企业未来在美国市场的日子恐怕不好过。另外,由于中国国产汽车品牌的迅速成长,以及日本与欧盟就经济伙伴关系协定达成框架协议,韩国对华、对欧汽车出口也面临严峻局面。这意味着韩国汽车企业将面临在中、美、欧三大出口市场全面被挤压的现实。

韩国国内还普遍担忧,面对美国这个超级大国,韩国手中的筹码并不多,而且目前为止也没有看到行之有效的具体对策。事已至此,韩国有分析认为,虽然韩美两国当前还未达成一致意见,但未来启动修订谈判恐难避免。特朗普政府似乎已将韩美FTA问题与韩国安全问题、驻韩美军费用分担、作战指挥权移交、协助提升韩军自主国防力量等诸多问题通盘考虑,相互关联,不断增加美国谈判筹码。鉴于韩美两国经济实力存在明显差距,韩国在处理修订FTA一事上难免处于被动局面。美国谋求通过修订美韩FTA捞取经济好处,这在一定程度上是种零和游戏,韩国恐将承受其造成的经济损失。这对需要大量财政支持才能得以落实的文在寅执政规划来说,恐将造成负面且较为长远的影响。

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