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并购重组审核未放松 定增进入量价舒适区

2017-08-07 09:32:09   中国经济网

最后是定增市场生态变了。财通基金指出,“随着定增市场降温,项目供需趋于平衡,建仓迎来‘量价舒适期’。以财通基金中标的定增项目为例,自5月27日以来公司中标项目平均折扣在85折左右,截至7月21日中标项目浮盈近33%。”

九泰基金告诉《国际金融报》记者,从投资角度来讲,变化最大的是定增投资的核心逻辑。“再融资新规和减持新规之前,定增投资的核心逻辑之一是通过一定的折价率获得上市公司的股份持有一年,这种类似打折买股票的行为得到投资者的认可,在定增新规与减持新规出台之后,定增投资的折价空间会收缩,另外持有周期延长,其间折价率对流动性的补偿机制得到破坏,新环境下的定增投资需要更强的逻辑支撑。”

对于优秀的投资标的,基金公司也是蜂拥而上。

近日,今年最大的定增项目,洛阳钼业定增刚刚落地,成功募集180亿元资金,定增股限售期为12个月。该定增创下今年最大定增规模纪录。

中标洛阳钼业的7家公募基金公司,北信瑞丰、建信、博时、红土创新、泰达宏利、民生加银和信诚均榜上有名。截至8月4日,机构参与洛阳钼业定增已经浮盈83.51%。

精挑细选寻找安全垫

财通基金认为,新的定增市场生态下,定增投资更加需要精挑细选,确立相应的投资“准绳”。

“在标的选择上,首先向价值型的行业龙头聚焦,这部分标的契合当前整体经济环境和市场环境;其次是选择核心资产优质的标的,在有些龙头可能没有那么明显的行业,评判其核心资产是否优质非常重要;第三是选择主业纯粹的标的,有些商誉膨胀、经营具有很大不确定性、偏爱跨界并购等外延式发展的上市公司,外界如果很难看懂其中的逻辑,自然就少参与为妙;第四是选择业绩具有可预测性和可持续性的标的。由于定增资金的参与周期整体拉长,选择绩优标的可以提供相应的安全垫。”财通基金人士表示。

财通基金相关负责人告诉记者,随着政策变迁,基金公司参与再融资也早已不限于传统定增范围,而是谋求在更广义的范围内形成闭环,创造新的核心竞争力,打造多元化再融资的解决方案。财通基金人士表示,近年来密切关注、重点孵化可转债及可交债、新三板、并购基金等产品。而即使是在传统的定增业务领域,公司仍在不断丰富对各类投资策略、金融衍生工具的组合运用,重点满足各类型投资需求,努力创造长期投资价值。

对于未来再融资市场的发展,财通基金人士回复称,随着中国从债权市场到股权市场的转换,近两年国内股权市场得到了长足发展。除了IPO外,针对已上市企业的再融资业务也占据了重要地位。再融资的概念是很宽泛的,除了定向增发,还包含多元化的各种金融工具。随着金融支持实体经济的纵深化,上市公司多元化融资方案兴起,懂投行语言的资金——具备上下游资源整合能力,布局上市公司一体化融资服务的资产管理机构将拥有更大的话语权,会脱颖而出。

九泰基金表示,未来定增将演变为真正的长期投资,价值投资理念将得到重视。“由于定增投资周期明显变长,定增投资完成投资、持有、退出将至少需要2.5年时间,如果投资期适当放宽延长,则整个投资、退出期将长达3年以上。目前,市场上定增资管产品的期限多为1.5年至2年,在新规下较难满足投资退出期的要求。预计现有参与主体将发生较大变化,长期资本由于其资金属性将成为未来定增投资的主力军,长期投资、价值投资理念也将获得越来越多投资机构的认可。一些具备扎实投研能力、着眼于长期投资的机构将引领未来定增投资市场。”九泰基金相关人士称。

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