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国际投资者对中国经济信心持续增强

2017-09-13 04:41:21   中国经济网

渣打银行的中小企业调研结果也展示了国内企业对人民币汇率的预期改善。调研显示,近期人民币对美元汇率的升值进一步提振了市场对人民币的预期,半数受调研企业仍然对人民币汇率持稳定预期。认为人民币会进一步贬值的企业比例只有17%,相比于7月份进一步下降。

福克斯经济研究公司数据显示,通过对比90天、60天和30天前全球47家投资机构对2017年底和2018年底人民币对美元汇率预测发现,当前主流市场在过去90天中不断上调人民币对美元汇率。

荷兰银行研究报告认为,在过去数年中,市场多次对中国外汇储备和跨境资本流动出现担忧情绪。但是,当前这一情况已经发生了逆转,资本跨境流动态势已经发生了改变,中国外汇储备连续6个月增长。

出现这一态势的重要原因之一,是人民币对美元汇率走势的变化。在此前人民币对美元汇率波动过程中,中国国内机构调整外债比例的进程已经基本完成。近期人民币对美元汇率不断走高。债券通以及A股纳入MSCI新兴市场指数等事件都极大改变了资金跨境流动的动力模式。因此,在可预见的未来,中国人民币汇率和外汇储备规模都将保持相对稳定的态势。

针对当前国际社会对中国债务风险的担忧,荷兰银行认为,虽然当前市场仍然担心中国债务比例上升,但是中国总体债务中外债规模比例极低,多为国内债务。中国政府已经开始采取措施打击市场投机、强化监管。这一模式在抵御金融风险方面是行之有效的。(经济日报驻伦敦记者 蒋华栋)

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