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【“退群”后果严重】
在孙成昊看来,从美国退出《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》、《巴黎协定》、联合国教科文组织等事件看,美国外交正在从贝拉克·奥巴马时期推崇的多边主义转向“美国优先”的利己主义,即只要短期内不符合美国利益,美国就不再遵守、不再执行原先签订的协议。
与此同时,由于美国与沙特阿拉伯、以色列等国的关系出现裂痕,特朗普想借打压伊朗拉近与这些传统盟友的关系,提升美国在中东地区的影响力。由于伊朗与俄罗斯互动密切,加大对伊朗的“敲打”力度也可以遏制俄罗斯在中东发挥影响。
法新社评论,尽管一些美国官员认为,“美国优先”并不意味着“美国单干”,但在其他缔约方都支持伊核协议的情况下,“美国分明变得孤立无援”。此外,毗邻中东的欧洲担忧,一旦协议遭到破坏,伊朗可能恢复核计划,加剧地区紧张局势,危及自身安全。同时,美国也放弃了“在稳定、以规则为基础的全球格局中的领导角色”。
孙成昊说,一旦美国退出伊核协议,“国际社会将质疑美国对外政策的延续性和稳定性,进而质疑美国所强调全球领导地位的合法性,同时全球秩序的稳定和良性发展也会遭受极大冲击”。(王逸君)(新华社专特稿)
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