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有望开启第四任期,默克尔挑战不小

2017-09-18 08:01:42   新华网

第三,以欧盟、中国、日本、印度、美国和俄罗斯为主的区域经济集团之间的安全和经济竞争正在加剧。一位德国绿党高级官员指出,他感到困惑的是,由于之前美国退出了巴黎气候协定,“我们”将突然同“中国人”站在一边来反对美国。与此同时,由于欧盟—美—俄冲突没有实质性解决方案,日益增多的部队和武器装备都部署在俄罗斯和欧洲边界两侧。

在经济领域,德国只有不断加强发展,才能确保在全球市场中的竞争力和领先地位。德国不得不承认,大西洋两岸的贸易关系正在变得日益恶化,与各方旷日持久的贸易战正隐约开始显现出来。

  “沿路踢罐子”能否奏效

那么,新一届德国政府将会如何反应呢?显而易见的是,德国民众在很大程度上还没有准备好去理解和应对多重危机,民众的集体心理还是导致他们愿意投票给那些在一定程度上支持隔离和规避风险的领导人。因此,在此类危机之下,德国的政治、经济和军事政策难以沟通和商议。

不幸的是,默克尔作为一名政治家的成功之处与其民众对未来不做准备的特质有关,因为她的行事风格对德国民众起到了镇定剂的作用。目前德国缺乏的是一种对于几乎每一个关键性问题的反思性讨论,更糟糕的是,大多数德国政治家对德国在欧盟内部乃至世界范围内究竟是何种形象和地位完全没有概念。这次大选之后,一个持久的问题将摆在众人面前,即默克尔“沿路踢罐子”的方法能否在多重危机的条件下持续发挥作用。

(作者:梅飞虎为同济大学德国研究中心研究员;胡伟杰为同济大学政治与国际关系学院硕士研究生)

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