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美国防部将制定新国防战略 讨论回归“同时打赢两场战争”

2017-09-12 16:56:23   中国青年网

专家对新战略的影响分析及建议

①前任负责战略与力量发展的助理国防部长帮办卡琳表示,新国防战略将为特朗普政府带来“巨大的机会”,有望为围绕未来预期、美国可能参与的战争类型以及如何分配数千亿美元经费进行的辩论敲定结论;鉴于最终版国防战略最早可能在2018年初发布,尽早做出一些关键决策可显示出新“国防战略”的影响;对于回归“同时打赢两场战争”的架构,国防部应该对这些战争的性质做出尽可能具体的阐释:是否都是大规模常规战争、是否属于两个不同战区、是否对抗两个不同的大国对手、是否有一场战争是反恐作战、两场战争在时间和距离上相差多少、可接受多大程度的风险等。卡琳还希望,新国防战略能解决不断延迟的现代化问题。

前任负责战略、规划与力量的副国防部长帮办希克斯指出,制定新国防战略的人员必须处理雄心勃勃的目标与有限资源之间的不匹配的问题 。对于美军当前的作战而言,过分挤压战备水平和结构似乎并不合理,国防战略家面临一种矛盾局面:对于美军建立长期军事优势来说最糟糕的战略选择,恰恰是威胁迫在眉睫的情况下对于美军日常作战来说最好的选择。在很大程度上,这阻碍了国防战略发生实质性变化。

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