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中国外交2016年取得的成绩并不仅是“帽子戏法”。美国《赫芬顿邮报》22日称,今年10月,菲律宾总统杜特尔特访华,两国关系彻底改善,这也是中国的经济影响力和投资承诺起了作用。“中菲关系走得如此之近,一些邻国甚至担心菲律宾会成为中国的盟友。”而越南日前试图改善对华关系的努力,也说明中国的“经贸外交”正在取得成果。报道说,中国正将经济力量当做战略武器,未来极有可能将更加积极主动,“‘中美共治’(G2)似乎要变成中国‘一国集团’(G1)”。
“中国正在展开全新的对台湾策略”,美国《纽约时报》22日引述学者分析称,圣普与台湾“断交”看似无足轻重,但有更广泛的政治弦外之音。台湾民视新闻23日称,圣普宣布与台“断交”后,接下来最危险的就是中美洲的尼加拉瓜,正巧也是蔡英文1月将出访的“邦交国”。蔡英文出访尼加拉瓜是为了参加该国总统奥尔特加的连任就职典礼,但奥尔特加“亲中”色彩强烈,已经屡次放话要与台湾“断交”。东森新闻网称,眼看两周后蔡英文出访团就要出发,但知情高层透露,至今台方连尼加拉瓜的接待机关都找不对口。民视新闻称,据了解,国安单位已经开始推演:若是大陆真的出手、要让台湾难堪,尼加拉瓜最可能的断交时间点不是在出访前夕,就是专机起飞的那一刻。报道称,台湾“总统”出访期间被“断交”也有先例。2008年陈水扁出访,刚抵达危地马拉,就传出马拉维“突袭断交”,台“外交部”当时直斥“这是欺骗”,“怎么可以这样对待”。
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