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英媒:中国是亚洲金融危机赢家,"索罗斯们"无计可施
在2008年金融危机期间,这些防波堤证明了自己的价值。“该地区确实逃过了一劫……主要是因为它们部署的防御措施。”信用评级机构穆迪的迈克尔·泰勒表示。
不过,亚洲金融风暴最坚持不懈的学生不是任何一个直接受害者。中国目睹了该地区货币暴跌,但确保了人民币对美元汇率坚挺,中国帮助阻止金融市场动荡的举动赢得了华盛顿的赞誉。
在那场危机前,有人建议北京在千禧年前后让人民币实现完全可兑换,实际上是让中国向国际资本流动敞开大门。但亚洲金融危机播下了中国警惕西方资本破坏力的种子。
20年后,北京方面仍然严格管控着资本账户和人民币汇率、自由化只是逐渐地进行——天达资产管理公司的迈克尔·鲍尔称之为“七重纱之舞”。其中一个目的是确保外国资本只能在国内金融市场发挥微弱力量。
对于世界其他地区而言,这类政策具有极为重要的意义。它们意味着世界第二大股市和第三大债市基本上与全球资本流动隔绝。即便上个月MSCI明晟作出把中国部分股票纳入关键指数的里程碑式决定,被纳入的股票也只占据MSCI新兴市场指数的很小比重。
以这种方式,中国正严格按照自己的条件接纳国际资本,使后来的“索罗斯们”无能为力。这是资本主义的一种幻象,资本被捆绑和约束,无法惩罚违反它那些激发活力的演算法则的人。马哈蒂尔的胜利可能是第三手的,但亚洲已经开始思考那场争论中他那一面的观点了
责任编辑:杨晓晨 CN067
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