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这里楼市拉响警报:房价比美国贵50% 半数房奴要破产

2017-05-30 18:55:18   每日经济新闻

2月份,宏利银行(Manulife Bank)在线调查了2098位房主,年龄介于20-69岁,家庭年收入不低于5万美元。其中14%的房主说目前的月供金额,已经是他们能够承担的极限;38%接受调查的房主认为,月供增加1-5%是没有问题的;只有20%的房主认为月供增加6-10%不会感受到太紧张,但也不能承担更多。

简而言之,72%的接受调查的加拿大房主,月供在目前的基础上增加10%就超出了他们的经济承受能力。

▲橙色代表72%的接受调查房主,无力承担月供增加10%(图片来源:宏利银行)

宏利银行(Manulife Bank)的CEO Rick Lunny说:“这些接受调查的房主并不知道,目前的利率是最低的。”

如果抵押贷款的利率上升一个百分点,一些房主就要面对月供增加10%的现实。抵押贷款的利率越高,社会将经历的震荡就越大。

同时这项调查还显示,45%的千禧一代向父母借钱买房,其中25%没有任何存款。

▲千禧一代45%依靠父母买房,25%毫无存款(图片来源:宏利银行)

另据国际金融时报报道,加拿大家庭平均债务占可支配收入的比重超过165%,已高于美国次贷危机爆发前的负债率。

事实上,在今年4月,加拿大的整个抵押贷款借贷市场已经开始暴跌。本月初,加拿大最大的非银行房贷供应商Home Capital Group陷入流动性危机,公司股价在消息传出当日暴跌65%,创公司史上最大单日跌幅。

一直认为加拿大房市有泡沫的经济学家David Madani断言,加拿大房地产市场泡沫将破灭,房价将出现断崖式猛跌,全国房价会跌30%甚至40%,一直跌到与居民收入大致相呼应,也就是符合家庭收入的水平。

责任编辑:穆启春 CN063
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