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中国专家:未来美国会对中国说土豪我们做朋友吧

2016-03-10 11:11:43   观察者网

而且因为中国实现了工业化,使得整个世界的工业化在规模上达到了新高峰。在英国引领的工业化第一阶段,那时候英国只有一千万人,第二阶段是美国引领的工业化,人口只有一个亿,而今天中国的工业化是10亿人口以上的规模,前无古人。未来只有一个国家在人口体量上超过中国,就是印度,可是我认为印度不具备自我工业化的能力。印度的社会结构是前现代的,印度今天所有的工业文明都是外来的,包括民主法治都是殖民者给它的,它自身并不具备产生现代化的能力。

所以我认为工业化的巅峰就在我们中国,美国的战略家应该也清楚这一点,所以他们看重的并不是我们的GDP,而是制造业总量。有了这样一个判断,美国当然就紧张了,而且有些元素又增加了它的紧张。中国的政治体制、意识形态和它不一样,文明的核心不一样。美国是盎格鲁撒克逊白人新教徒文明,本质上还是个一神教文化,中国文化是依赖人的理性自我管理的世俗文化。所以你的力量如此巨大,你的性格、价值偏好又和我不一样,是它不熟悉的一个国家,这样就加深了美国人的疑虑。

记者:未来中国站上制造业高峰时,会不会像当年英国、美国崛起一样改变世界格局?

金灿荣:这是美国人下一步担心的,他们的习惯思维就是“国强必霸”,它认为中国也脱离不了人性的规律。一神教文化的弊端就在于,喜欢把它独特的意识形态当做普世的、别人也必须尊崇的意识形态,以己之心度他人之腹,一定会以它的历史发展来推演别人,自然就会紧张,所以王毅外长建议他们好好理解中国五千年文明,但这个对美国人来讲太难了。

另外,美国人现在理解中国还有个特殊难题,它内心里还是有点种族主义的,还有点瞧不起中国,无法平等对待中国,觉得它自己是上帝的特殊选民,是山巅之城,是全世界的典范,你向它要平等对待,那不是错误的问题,那是犯罪的问题。中国要跟美国搞新兴大国关系,第二点要求就是相互尊重,美国人认为你跟我要平等待遇,你怎么有这个资格?总之现在美国对中国心理非常矛盾,有瞧不起的一面,总觉得中国要出事,所以才产生章家敦现象,每次都讲中国要崩溃,讲了十几年了,理性人都知道他不对,但是他依然很有市场,说明美国一部人有这个心态,希望听到这个声音。美国现在对中国充满了恐惧、不了解,又蔑视,是一个很复杂的心态。

在这个心态之下,就产生了亚太再平衡,美国相信总体力量比我们大,它有机会控制我们。当然中国是在推动中美关系往新型大国关系走,这是一个正确的方向,而且我感觉双方还是有可能走出这样一条道路来的。美国这个国家缺点很多,但还是有优点的。它本质上还是个商业社会,很认实力的,相比日本这种国家不是那么执着,日本是一根筋,美国要灵活一些,实用主义是这个国家的基本性格,所以只要中国把家里的事处理好,把深化改革做好、把全面小康做好,我估计发展到一定程度,大概美国还是会承认中国的合法利益的,最后它的态度应该是:土豪我们做朋友吧。中国靠努力、走正道,程序上没有什么问题,形成非常强势的力量,美国实用主义、商业主义的国家性格还是可以接受中国的,也有利于中美最终找到解决问题的办法。

记者:8日早上的记者发布会上,记者们共提了18个问题,涉及中美、中朝、中欧、东盟、中非等等,可以看到中国外交遍布全球,那么这些关系之中,有没有侧重点,还是说我们要全面开花?

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