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【环球时报综合报道】台湾“大选”进入倒数时刻,两岸关系仍然是蓝绿阵营攻防最激烈的话题,也是国际上对台湾“大选”最关注的问题。14日下午出版的台湾《联合晚报》称,“选前2天,美表态:维持一中,与胜选者合作。”报道称,美国白宫副国家安全顾问罗兹13日在华盛顿外国记者中心举行记者会,说明奥巴马政府2016年的外交优先政策,他在被问到台湾“大选”时表示,“我们的一个中国政策当然会维持”。对于美国希望对台湾选后的两岸关系传递何种信息,罗兹称,“我们支持良好的两岸关系,不认为升高紧张对任何一方有利。”中国大陆、美国和观察这场选举的其他国家,都想看到选举进行并尊重结果,而“这在我们‘一个中国’政策与美中三个公报的范畴之内”。
“美国行政官员提到美国对台政策时,一般情况下,除了‘一个中国’政策和中美三个联合公报,也会同时提到“与台湾关系法”,但罗兹这次谈话并未提到”。台湾《联合报》立刻注意到这一点。报道称,在岛内“大选”前的敏感时刻,罗兹究竟是有心或无意,免不了会引发关注。罗兹谈到台湾选举时,一边说尊重选举结果,一边又说这“在美国的‘一个中国’政策与美中三个公报的范畴之内”,这种说法让人有很大想象空间。报道还称,尽管罗兹“一个中国”的说法可能只是重申美国的一贯政策,但美国面对蔡英文这位不接受“一个中国”的候选人,重申“一中”政策显然意在提醒蔡英文,明示美国对未来两岸关系可能变化的关切。
如果说作为美国政府现任官员,罗兹就台湾“大选”的表态较模糊,那么美国数名前高官同时就两岸关系对台湾未来领导人发出的警告就态度鲜明多了。美中关系全国委员会11日罕见地邀请分别在卡特政府、克林顿政府和奥巴马政府担任过国防部长的布朗、佩里、科恩、哈格尔在华盛顿讨论美中关系,议题包括台海两岸、朝鲜、东海、南海等,而台湾选后的两岸关系自然而然成为座谈的焦点。曾经历过1996年台海导弹危机的前防长佩里称,“如果16日取得政权的主政者,不承认或漠视‘九二共识’,将造成两岸分歧扩大,未来台湾和大陆很可能立即发生‘相互确保经济毁灭’的严重冲突。对台湾来说,这是非常重大的冲击。”科恩则称,过去8年间,两岸关系取得长足发展,包括两岸直航、数十万台湾民众在大陆工作,两岸关系不再是个问题。但“现在的问题是,这个关系在未来能否延续下去,或许并不确定”。曾任奥巴马政府国防部长的哈格尔也称,美国对盟友有诸多责任,要发挥领导作用,帮助盟友避免因为误判或强制推行(政策)而产生冲突,“台湾问题就是其中之一”。他强调,两岸关系这几年进展良好,他希望选后的台湾新政府不要放弃这样的成果也免得美国必须在“是否为台湾出兵”一事上为难。
美国这次不仅对民进党未来两岸政策表达了担忧,还对其上台后若不能“谨慎行事”的后果给出了答案。美国在台协会台北办事处前主任司徒文13日表示,台湾目前多党林立,但没有有效整合、主导政党又不具备特殊吸引力,台湾政坛可能会变得更复杂。假如“民进党执政没有改善台湾的问题,国民党将会再起”。
责任编辑:翟明 CN040
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