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提升防御性 基金四季度积极布局消费股

2017-10-13 06:42:53   

□本报记者 姜沁诗

A股实现了四季度“开门红”,而基金经理开始为四季度乃至明年的投资积极布局。值得注意的是,部分基金经理明确表示,市场的结构性机会或仍然存在,同时考虑到市场经历了前三季度结构性牛市表现后,四季度市场防御的必要性在提升,相对看好盈利基本面进一步强化的行业及个股,如必需消费品等细分行业等。

医疗主题基金业绩居前

四季度伊始,不少权益类基金取得不错业绩,据W数据统计,截至10月11日,仅短短三天时间,就取得了普通股票型基金平均收益1.34%;被动指数型基金平均收益1.37%;偏股混合型基金平均收益1.30%。

细看单只基金的具体表现,中国证券报记者发现,医疗主题基金在四季度以来表现强势。据Wind数据统计,截至10月11日,在主动权益类基金中,包括国投瑞银医疗保健行业、嘉实医疗保健、中欧医疗健康C、交银医药创新、博时医疗保健行业A,区间回报分别为5.38%、4.91%、4.66%、4.39%、4.11%。而被动指数型基金中,广发中证医疗、华宝兴业中证医疗、汇添富中证互联网医疗A/C、南方中证500医药卫生ETF均居前十位,区间回报分别为6.11%、6.04%、4.74%/4.64%、4.28%。

据数据统计,医疗保健板块节后上涨幅度为3.80%。中国证券报记者发现,医疗主题基金的上涨得益于相关板块资金的持续流入,国庆节后的两个交易日(9日和10日),医疗行业遭主力资金净流入共计13.07亿元。不过,值得注意的是,最近两日(11日和12日),该板块的主力资金共计流出11.24亿元。

市场结构性机会仍存

今年以来,低估值消费、电子、周期、新能源汽车等板块轮番表现,随着四季度的到来,有市场分析认为,定向降准、外围股市大涨以及宏观经济数据改善等因素有望改善A股情绪。具体来看,记者了解到,公募基金对四季度的行情分析颇为乐观。

招商基金表示,根据招商基金的判断,国内四季度经济基本面仍保有一定韧性、或将稳中略有下行,同时货币政策中性基调不变、利率仍将维持高位震荡。外围各主要经济体经济增长稳健,但四季度将面临货币收紧的局面。市场风险偏好层面,招商基金四季度的后两个月,金融监管加强的预期将提升,市场情绪或将回落股票市场投资策略方面,以结构性行情为主。

博时基金董事总经理兼股票投资部总经理李权胜指出,当前市场的确已经历了价值投资逻辑和成长主题投资的双向渠道;未来如果价值投资逻辑的行业及个股不能进一步获得盈利增长的强化,则上涨动力相对不足;市场的结构性机会或仍然存在,同时考虑到市场经历了前三季度结构性牛市表现后,四季度市场防御的必要性在提升,相对看好盈利基本面进一步强化的行业及个股,如必需消费品等细分行业等。未来市场的风格有一定切换的可能。

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