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妖王卧倒 次新板块风险浮现

2017-09-27 08:32:53   

■ 深圳特区报记者 张亮

周二两市股指小幅跳空低开,随后市场继续弱势整理。与此同时,次新板块以及近期涨幅较大的题材股出现补跌走势,尤其妖王中科信息的跌停板,让次新板块做空情绪得到集中释放,板块现跌停潮。

截至收盘,沪指报3343.58点,涨幅0.06%;深成指报10950.78点,涨幅0.18%;创业板指报1839.46点,跌幅0.23%。沪市成交1590亿元,深市成交2424亿元,两市合计成交4014亿元,较上一交易日大幅缩量。

●妖王中科信息风光不再

昨日中科信息再次成为市场关注的焦点,只不过这一次是以跌停的悲壮角色来扮演。中科信息早盘表现不佳,集合竞价低开近4%,开盘后迅速打至跌停板。妖王跌停,其他次新股自然也不太好过,空头情绪迅速蔓延,导致该板块集体遭遇重挫。最先走弱的是新开板次新股,众源新材、联合光电、创业黑马、中环环保、爱乐达、美格智能等人气股快速跳水,带动众多次新股出现杀跌。在做空情绪得到宣泄后,板块午盘出现一波力度较弱的反弹,随后尾盘再次出现杀跌,11只个股封死跌停,从跌幅榜看,跌停股多为近期表现较强的次新股。

可以说,中科信息无疑是8月10日以来市场最大热门股,该股自开板以来以12个涨停板,累计最高上涨271%而力压群雄。该股在历经2次停牌核查,并多次发布异动公告后,依然我行我素,涨停不断,并带动建科院等众多新开板次新股连续出现暴涨走势。

不过,随着妖王倒下,次新板块的集中炒作恐将告一段落。“当下市场很难有某一个主流热点连续几个月持续走强,能维持一个月上涨的热点已属很牛。而本波次新股行情自8月中旬开始已运行一个月,基本达到了阶段性热点周期的上限。而周末次新股IPO金额又提升至60亿左右,昨日次新股龙头中科信息再度跌停,这表明空头信号再度来临。”中航证券分析师樊波说道。

次新板块大跌后,何时再具备买入条件时,樊波提醒,次新股龙头高位巨幅震荡传递空方信号,建议阶段性回避风险。预计下一波次新股集中性的行情将在年底或明年初,期间可能有个股性的小行情,但不具备规模性和集中性。

●机构看好A股节后行情

昨日A股市场继续调整,沪指、深成指、中小板指暂时站稳30天均线,创业板指表现相对较弱,收于30日均线之下。从市场大幅萎缩的成交量来看,市场多空情绪暂时达到平衡状态,资金观望气氛浓厚。由于节前仅剩下3个交易日,资金已无心恋战,缩量震荡或是剩下三天的主要走势。

对于节后的市场表现,不少机构表示乐观。从2009-2016年数据了解到,A股国庆节效应显著,节后大概率上涨。国庆节前一周上证指数涨跌互现,其中5年下跌,3年上涨,就概率而言,下跌概率更高;而国庆节后一周上证指数均上涨,涨幅均值4.59%。同时,月度数据显示10月上证指数的表现总体更好,平均涨幅4.83%,显著超过9月的0.18%。

招商证券认为,指数在近一个月震荡下行后,目前可能处于一个短周期的调整尾声,市场很可能在不久迎来触底回升。叠加国庆节假期效应的影响,进一步认为国庆节后市场回暖的概率较高。

宁波海顺也表示,沪指再次站上30日线,捍卫了多方的势头。从昨日的量能情况来看,沪指收了个极低的量能,也提前反应了节假日的态势,基本可以判断阶段性底部已经到位,节后行情值得期待。

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