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股指显著回落 宜调仓回避风险

2017-09-26 07:17:54   中国经济网

每经记者 郑步春

本周一A股显著调整,截至收盘,上证综指跌0.33%至3341.55点,深证综指跌1.24%至1963.90点。中小板、创业板综指分别跌1.18%、1.17%。沪综指跌幅稍小,主要与中石油、茅台等权重股表现不错相关。

由盘面看,地产股、有色股调整较为明显。地产股调整与近期地产调控升级相关,有色股调整与经济指标不强及国际市场大宗商品走势不强相关。当然了,之前周期类股走势过强,这本身也会带来向下修正的压力。

现在是“金九银十”,传统的楼市旺季,持有地产股的投资者或许会有些想法,但近期楼市风向明显偏紧,所以这部分筹码有可能松动,一部分地产股大跌便不难理解了。

“房子是用来住的,不是用来炒的。”现在这波调控,正是这句话的体现。此外,钢铁、水泥、有色虽然不是全用于房地产业,但肯定占一大块,所以楼市政策风向可能也会压制此类个股。

大盘这样的调整在事前是极难预测到的,因几乎所有投资者均看到了今秋有重大会议,股市势必会走得较稳,所以前期许多投资者可能因此而仓位过重。这本没有什么错,但股市从来就不是多数人能踏准节奏的地方。

面对股市调整,投资者能做的要么是逢高减仓,要么是调仓,以此来回避可能的风险。

依我来看,投资者可以往权重股转移些筹码,因护盘重任多半会落在权重股上。另一个思路是减持周期类品种,一般可往新兴产业配置更多资金。

国家坚决压住楼市是有利于新兴产业发展的。社会总资源有限,压住了某一大头,资源才会更多流向其他领域,这些领域中,科技类、创新类公司与地产距离最远。

沪综指今年以来的行情有个原始上升通道,该通道目前位于3300点一带,这显然是后市最强大的支撑,万一大盘续落到此处,投资者可积极介入,然后观望。我觉得像这样级别的支撑,就算最终失守的,至少首次测试后极易拉起,届时投资者可视情况再作打算。

笔者已在微信平台开辟专栏,读者可以在每周日至周四晚间通过微信直接查看笔者的最新观点,详情请关注“每经投资宝”微信公众号。

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