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上证50底部已经确立

2017-09-25 08:06:56   中国经济网

上周要闻回顾

1、证监会近日对上市公司重大资产重组相关规则进行了修订,进一步明确了相关规则的具体执行标准,包括简化重组预案披露内容、缩短停牌时间;明确“穿透”披露标准,提高交易透明度等。

2、在9月份的前20天里,沪深两市共有131家上市公司发布237项“大小非”减持计划。以减持上限计算,最多的将减持17.05亿股;最高减持市值达233.58亿元。其中,有八成公司“大小非”计划在半年内完成减持。

3、进入9月份以来,举牌行为愈演愈烈。统计显示,9月内A股增持事件超过13起,或成为年内举牌事件最密集的一个月。9月份以来,已出现13条关于上市公司增持的公告,涉及9家上市公司,其中增持比例达到5%的有5家公司,分别是中电广通、神农基因、金路集团、建研集团、海立股份。此外,汉商集团也被增持4.91%。

本周机构研判

上周五,上证综指在上证50指标股的护盘下探底回升,创业板指则下跌明显;两市成交额合计达到4800亿元。板块涨幅居前的是通讯设备和量子通信,板块跌幅居前的是高送转和油改。

博星投顾:大盘收盘点位很有意思,正好在3353点日线级别“双顶”颈线位之下0.5的位置,由此可以看出,大资金的控盘水平极高,手中已经拿到绝大多数的市场筹码,先在技术走势上酿造一种恐慌的氛围,构筑一个“见顶”的形态。但从中线角度来看,这是一次“诱空”行为。上证50指数在2660点附近形成较强支撑,上周五没有跌破,说明短期底部已经确立。

宁波海顺:目前市场量能基本保持一个平稳水平,震荡空间也维持恒定。上周五上证综指刚好回调到下方缺口上沿的3334.98点就开始震荡上行,说明机构控盘水平相当之高。上周五的长下影线也为股指的震荡空间定了调,预计后市仍将沿着60日均线上行。创业板指刚好也跌到60日均线后震荡上行;深证成指表现相对较强,仍沿着20日均线上行。综上来看,A股整体向上的趋势并未破坏,总体估值也在合理水平。本周作为长假前的最后一周,预计不会出现较大的波动,出现大幅上扬或猛烈杀跌的可能性都不大。要想真正突破,至少需要等到“十一”长假后了。

容维投资:上周五股指继续杀跌,上证综指盘中逼近3330点支撑区,该区域能否形成有效支撑,将对投资者的信心起到关键作用。目前机构资金仓位高企,市场热点难以支撑赚钱效应的提升,股指的反抽并不具备企稳信号,预计本周初仍将呈现冲高回落继续调整的态势。

中证投资:A股市场交投进一步萎缩,一方面显示出场内资金仍以存量博弈为主,另一方面说明市场下行的空间有限,箱体震荡走势或将延续。待这些短期干扰因素逐渐被消化后,节后市场仍有望震荡回升。短期来看,A股市场仍将维持缩量震荡蓄势的局面,上下的空间均比较有限。

钱坤投资:深证综指上周收出一根阳十字星,形成周K线“六连阳”伴随高位十字星,本周面临收阴调整的压力。上证综指、创业板指平台震荡,预计向下调整的空间不大,后市仍值得看好,可等待大盘回档充分后积极参与。

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