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两融余额:下一站1万亿大关
2017-09-21 07:17:34 中国经济网
短暂回落后,本周起两融余额重回增长“快车道”。截至9月19日收盘,沪深市场融资融券余额报9919.69亿元,距离万亿元关口再近一步。指数上有压力、下有支撑格局下,两融资金坚定看多,对市场人气的维护起到了正能量作用。不过,在宏观经济、周期品基本面和短期流动性一致性预期较高,且前期已经在股价上得到反映,两融增量虽加速进场,毕竟独木难支,难以对行情形成趋势性推动,但在局部热点的营造上,新近两融资金的动向或成为重要参考指标。同时考虑到目前大盘距离3400点尚有50点空间,处于三周以来低位,不排除反抽中融资客博弈短线,继续加仓令余额迈过1万亿元大关的可能。
余额逼近万亿
上周五市场全线回调一度“吓坏”了融资客,导致当天融资余额出现11.31亿元净流出,暂时中断了两融余额8月25日以来的新高之路。9月18日开始,市场再度呈现融资净流入景象,最新数据显示,沪深两市融资融券余额已经突破9900亿元关口,又一次改写年内新高。
数据显示,截至本周二,沪深两市融资融券余额报9919.69亿元,环比增加29.65亿元。其中沪市两融余额报5873.46亿元,较前一日增长13.58亿元;深市两融余额报4046.24亿元,较前一日增长16.08亿元。
融资方面,本周二收盘时,融资余额报9873.40亿元,环比上升29.07亿元。当日融资买入额为561.26亿元,较前一日增加17.84亿元,同时当天融偿还额也增长44.53亿元,达到532.22亿元。短期看,两融资金做多信心得到快速修复,交投意愿重新升温。
分析人士认为,两融余额短暂下滑后重拾升势,主要原因在于上周指数破位下行后能够快速企稳,凸显市场重心仍较为稳固,虽然上涨不易,但大幅下跌亦较为困难。在此背景下,融资客紧张情绪得到纾解,并且本周以来市场利好政策不断,一方面是央行重启公开市场操作,连续展开净投放,资金面短端偏紧局面有望缓和;另一方面,虽然近期有报道称,场外配资又“热闹”起来,但一来监管层强化金融监管大方向未变,因此对投资者心理影响有限,二来中金所松绑“股指期货”,对同是杠杆投资的两融形成侧面刺激。不过略有存疑的是,此番两融资金加仓的背景是上周市场连续动荡,股指出现阶段回落,因此此轮做多究竟是长期看好还是短线博弈,目前来看,还有待观察。总体来看,在指数重返3380点上方之前,融资加仓仍存有一定空间,由此两融余额迈上1万亿元大关仍然具备可能性。
逆势“抄底”
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